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← Open calls/Combo #358
WONPredictions · ComboCombo #358 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

51.68¢ · win pays +0.93u

Said · before resolutionOct 23, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

ATP250 - Lyon Open 🇫🇷 Pick: 🇺🇸 T. Paul @ 76c Reason: Paul is the one who posts the higher hold, serve points won, and break rate in the last-52 sample. Moutet is the lefty who can change pace and has been competitive on return from injury. On indoor hard the hold and serve points won favor the American. He takes the ball early and the numbers from the last 52 matches show he can finish short points and win the middle lengths at a higher rate than Moutet has managed against similar returns. Moutet takes it early and the lefty serve angle is the number that can keep sets live if Paul’s first-serve percentage drops. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1232239 ATP250 - Lyon Open 🇫🇷 Pick: 🇮🇹 L. Musetti @ 67c Reason: Musetti’s edge is the hold, the serve points won, and the second-serve points won. He takes the ball early and the higher hold (82.6% vs 72.3%), serve points won (64.7% vs 59.5%), and second-serve points won (54.4% vs 48.5%) are the numbers that decide service games on indoor hard. Van Assche’s edge is the higher break rate and this week’s ace rate. He takes it early and the break rate can keep sets live if Musetti’s first-serve percentage drops. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1236010 *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa #combo

snk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Tommy Paul @ 76¢
    Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet v Tommy Paul
    Starts
    Entry
    76¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul"; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 76¢ 19s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    won · Oct 23, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1232239 "Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul" outcome "Tommy Paul" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Lorenzo Musetti @ 68¢
    Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche v Lorenzo Musetti
    Starts
    Entry
    68¢ (the message said 67¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti"; entry 68¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 67¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 23, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1236010 "Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti" outcome "Lorenzo Musetti" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
51.68¢

76¢ × 68¢ = 51.68¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 51.68 − 1 = +0.93u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 23, 2026 · market settlement
Won: every leg won. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
+0.93uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 51.68 − 1)
Verification details
won: every leg won (76¢ × 68¢ = 51.68¢, pays +0.93u)

Counts toward Season 2: combo 6 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.