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← Open calls/Combo #357
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #357 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

17.55¢ · win pays +4.70u

Said · before resolutionOct 23, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

Since Mannarino fked (again) my combo i'm trying again! Please don't ape this is a crazy one <:kekcat:1239862927398277180> Risk: 🔴 Super Degen High Risk ATP250 - Almaty 🇰🇿 Game: 🇬🇷 S. Tsitsipas x 🇦🇺 J. Duckworth Pick: Over 10.5 Set 1 @ 41c Reason: Tsitsipas still has the higher hold and first-serve in, but the gaps are modest and the recent serving sample from Duckworth is strong. Indoor hard rewards the higher hold, yet the even return numbers and Duckworth’s Darderi performance keep sets live. If Tsitsipas’s first serve looks like the last-52 sample he should still win in three more often than not. If Duckworth holds the way he did against Darderi, the first set is live and the match can go long. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1230533 ATP250 - Almaty 🇰🇿 Game: 🇨🇿 J. Lehecka x 🇳🇱 T. Griekspoor Pick: Over 10.5 Set 1 @ 39c Reason: Lehecka’s edge is the hold, the break rate, and the return. He takes the ball early and the higher hold (87.8% vs 84.0%), break rate (17.8% vs 13.2%), and return points won (34.8% vs 30.7%) are the numbers that decide service games on a fast indoor hard. Griekspoor’s edge is the slightly higher ace rate and the old H2H. He takes it early and the ace rate can keep sets live if Lehecka’s first-serve percentage drops. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1236007 *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa #combo

snk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Over 10.5 games (Set 1) @ 45¢
    Almaty Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas v James Duckworth
    Starts
    Entry
    45¢ (the message said 41¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Almaty Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs James Duckworth"; entry 45¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 41¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 23, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1230533 "Almaty Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 10.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Lost
    Over 10.5 games (Set 1) @ 39¢
    European Open: Tallon Griekspoor v Jiri Lehecka
    Starts
    Entry
    39¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 23, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1236007 "European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 10.5" outcome "Over" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
17.55¢

45¢ × 39¢ = 17.55¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 17.55 − 1 = +4.70u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 23, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Over 10.5 (Set 1)", Almaty Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas v James Duckworth): gamma POLY-1230533 "Almaty Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 10.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 5 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.