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← Open calls/Combo #354
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #354 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

44.53¢ · win pays +1.25u

Said · before resolutionOct 22, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

Tennis Stage: brussel apt250 Confidence: 🟠 low risk (35%) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1236007 Pick: lehecka @ 73¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1230532 Pick: cerundolo @ 61¢ reasoning: Cerúndolo is the third seed and reached the quarter-finals with a straight-sets victory over Martin Damm, 6–4, 7–6(4). He saved six of seven break points and hit 12 aces. Lehečka's biggest advantage is his ability to win points quickly with his serve and first groundstroke. His previous match against Collignon was an excellent example: 9 aces 0 double faults 86.7% of first-serve points won Straight-sets victory in 79 minutes. #nfa #COMBO

ethanbigbrother in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Jiri Lehecka @ 73¢
    European Open: Tallon Griekspoor v Jiri Lehecka
    Starts
    Entry
    73¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 23, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1236007 "European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka" outcome "Jiri Lehecka" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Francisco Cerundolo @ 61¢
    European Open: Clement Chidekh v Francisco Cerundolo
    Starts
    Entry
    61¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 23, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1230532 "European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo" outcome "Francisco Cerundolo" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
44.53¢

73¢ × 61¢ = 44.53¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 44.53 − 1 = +1.25u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 23, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Jiri Lehecka", European Open: Tallon Griekspoor v Jiri Lehecka): gamma POLY-1236007 "European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka" outcome "Jiri Lehecka" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 5 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

ethanbigbrother
rank #2 · season 2
Profile →
+14.14u
profit
38–71
record
109
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.