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← Open calls/Combo #353
WONPredictions · ComboCombo #353 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

39.21¢ · win pays +1.55u

Said · before resolutionOct 22, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

NBA Stage: Regular season Confidence: 🟠 low risk (35%) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1232239 Pick: paul @ 77¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1236015 Pick: fritz @ 76¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1236010 Pick: musetti @ 67¢ reasoning: Paul has shown he can win even when a match becomes difficult. He defeated Benjamin Bonzi 6–4, 6–7(4), 6–3. He beat Zizou Bergs 7–6(5), 6–4 at the Shanghai Masters. He defeated Valentin Vacherot 6–4, 6–2 in Shanghai. Fritz is most dangerous when he uses his forehand to dictate rallies and take control of the court. Fritz can controls the baseline, he can make Altmaier spend more time defending instead of creating his own attacks. Musetti is a former top-5 player and a two-time Grand Slam semi-finalist, giving him experience in high-pressure matches. In Lyon, he is the sixth seed, while Van Assche has had to work through earlier rounds. #nfa #COMBO

ethanbigbrother in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Tommy Paul @ 77¢
    Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet v Tommy Paul
    Starts
    Entry
    77¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 23, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1232239 "Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul" outcome "Tommy Paul" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Taylor Fritz @ 76¢
    Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier v Taylor Fritz
    Starts
    Entry
    76¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 23, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1236015 "Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz" outcome "Taylor Fritz" price 0.998 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Lorenzo Musetti @ 67¢
    Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche v Lorenzo Musetti
    Starts
    Entry
    67¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 23, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1236010 "Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti" outcome "Lorenzo Musetti" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
39.21¢

77¢ × 76¢ × 67¢ = 39.21¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 39.21 − 1 = +1.55u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 23, 2026 · market settlement
Won: every leg won. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
+1.55uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 39.21 − 1)
Verification details
won: every leg won (77¢ × 76¢ × 67¢ = 39.21¢, pays +1.55u)

Counts toward Season 2: combo 4 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

ethanbigbrother
rank #2 · season 2
Profile →
+14.14u
profit
38–71
record
109
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.