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← Open calls/Combo #349
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #349 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

33.00¢ · win pays +2.03u

Said · before resolutionOct 22, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1160470 Pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 81¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1155426 Both Teams to Score YES @ 68¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1155422 Pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 72¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1155406 Pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 81¢ There’s a reasonable goals based case across these four fixtures. Celtic vs Celta Vigo has an estimated 78% chance of clearing Over 1.5 goals, while Ajax vs Atalanta has a roughly 62% model estimate for both teams to score. Sporting Braga vs Gent and Monaco vs Freiburg also have Over 1.5 goal estimates around 77% and 80%, respectively. These are model estimates, not guarantees, and adding more legs makes the overall combo harder to land. #NFA #COMBO

justfhlawlez. in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Over 1.5 @ 82¢
    Celtic FC v RC Celta de Vigo - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    82¢ (the message said 81¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo - More Markets"; "Over 1.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo - More Markets" (POLY-1160554); entry 82¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 81¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 22, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1160554 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    both teams to score @ 69¢
    AFC Ajax v Atalanta BC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    69¢ (the message said 68¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC - More Markets"; "both teams to score YES" is on this fixture's companion event "AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC - More Markets" (POLY-1157447); entry 69¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 68¢); entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 69¢ 1s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    lost · Oct 22, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1157447 "Both Teams to Score" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Over 1.5 @ 72¢
    SC Braga v KAA Gent - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    72¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "SC Braga vs. KAA Gent - More Markets"; "Over 1.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "SC Braga vs. KAA Gent - More Markets" (POLY-1157450); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 22, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1157450 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    Over 1.5 @ 81¢
    AS Monaco FC v SC Freiburg - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    81¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "AS Monaco FC vs. SC Freiburg - More Markets"; "Over 1.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "AS Monaco FC vs. SC Freiburg - More Markets" (POLY-1157462); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 22, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1157462 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
33.00¢

82¢ × 69¢ × 72¢ × 81¢ = 33.00¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 33.00 − 1 = +2.03u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 22, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("both teams to score YES", AFC Ajax v Atalanta BC - More Markets): gamma POLY-1157447 "Both Teams to Score" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 1 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

justfhlawlez.
rank #17 · season 2
Profile →
-0.18u
profit
48–48
record
96
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
Season rules →How to post a combo →