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← Open calls/Combo #335
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #335 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

38.15¢ · win pays +1.62u

Said · before resolutionOct 22, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

PICK 3 COMBO 1. AS Monaco FC vs. SC Freiburg Pick: SC FREIBURG +1.5 @ 77¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1155406 My reason: A prestigious match for both teams; it is likely to end in a draw, or perhaps a narrow 2-1 victory for the hosts. Both sides are expected to score—Freiburg is no pushover, while Monaco, playing at home, will certainly be the favorites. 2. AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan Pick: AC MILAN +1.5 @ 71¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1160475 My reason: Choosing AC Milan with a +1.5 spread is the best option; in Serie A, AC Milan has been performing very well and is capable of competing with top-tier teams like Inter Milan and AS Roma. I believe this match will end in a draw, or the hosts will secure a narrow 2-1 victory. 3. FK Jablonec vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC Pick: BRIGHTON -1.5 @ 66¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1155368 My reason: Brighton is currently shining in the English Premier League, remaining unbeaten for 10 consecutive matches; their most recent performance was truly spectacular and caught everyone by surprise. Tonight, Brighton could well secure a victory—perhaps by a score of at least 3-0 or 4-1. #NFA #COMBO

crypto_strategy in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Lost
    SC Freiburg +1.5 @ 78¢
    AS Monaco FC v SC Freiburg - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    78¢ (the message said 77¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "AS Monaco FC vs. SC Freiburg - More Markets"; "SC FREIBURG +1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "AS Monaco FC vs. SC Freiburg - More Markets" (POLY-1157462); entry 78¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 77¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 22, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1157462 "AS Monaco FC (-1.5)" outcome "SC Freiburg" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Lost
    AC Milan +1.5 @ 73¢
    AFC Bournemouth v AC Milan - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    73¢ (the message said 71¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan - More Markets"; "AC MILAN +1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan - More Markets" (POLY-1160553); entry 73¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 71¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 22, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1160553 "AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)" outcome "AC Milan" price 0.0095 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3 · decided the comboLost
    Brighton & Hove Albion FC -1.5 @ 67¢
    FK Jablonec v Brighton & Hove Albion FC - More Markets
    Traded on Jupiter
    Starts
    Entry
    67¢ (the message said 66¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "FK Jablonec vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC - More Markets"; "BRIGHTON -1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "FK Jablonec vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC - More Markets" (POLY-1157488); entry 67¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 66¢); entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 67¢ 0s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    lost · Oct 22, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1157488 "Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)" outcome "Brighton & Hove Albion FC" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
38.15¢

78¢ × 73¢ × 67¢ = 38.15¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 38.15 − 1 = +1.62u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 22, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 3: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 3 ("Brighton & Hove Albion FC -1.5", FK Jablonec v Brighton & Hove Albion FC - More Markets): gamma POLY-1157488 "Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)" outcome "Brighton & Hove Albion FC" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 3 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

crypto_strategy
rank #6 · season 2
Profile →
+9.72u
profit
60–54
record
114
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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