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← Open calls/Combo #334
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #334 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

27.95¢ · win pays +2.58u

Said · before resolutionOct 22, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

PICK 4 COMBO 1. Trabzonspor vs. Heart of Midlothian FC Pick: TRABZONSPOR @ 74¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1155386 My reason: Trabzonspor, a club from Turkey, currently sits in third place. Recently, Mo Salah has been performing exceptionally well, helping the team secure victories in their last two matches. Let’s see if Salah can lead the club to another win—that is certainly the hope! 2. FC Nordsjælland vs. PFK CSKA Sofia Pick: NORDSJAELLAND @ 68¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1155380 My reason: Nordsjaelland, a club from Denmark known for a fast-paced style of play that prioritizes a strong attack and a solid defense, has victory within its grasp, holding a 2-0 lead. 3. AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica Pick: SPORT LISBOA E BENFICA @ 72¢ My reason: Benfica currently sits at the top of the league table; they secured a 4-0 victory in their last match. Hopefully, they can maintain that same level of competitiveness and style of play to win this upcoming match as well. 4. Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AZ Pick: AZ @ 69¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1154955 My reason: AZ typically employs an attacking style of play from the opening minutes through the end of the first half; however, they failed to execute this approach in their last match, which ended in a draw. Nevertheless, I am optimistic that AZ can win this upcoming match. #NFA #COMBO

crypto_strategy in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Trabzonspor @ 76¢
    Trabzonspor v Heart of Midlothian FC
    Starts
    Entry
    76¢ (the message said 74¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Trabzonspor vs. Heart of Midlothian FC"; entry 76¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 74¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 22, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1155386 "Trabzonspor" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    FC Nordsjælland @ 70¢
    FC Nordsjælland v PFK CSKA Sofia
    Traded on Jupiter
    Starts
    Entry
    70¢ (the message said 68¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "FC Nordsjælland vs. PFK CSKA Sofia"; entry 70¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 68¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 22, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1155380 "FC Nordsjælland" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Sport Lisboa e Benfica @ 74¢
    AS Omónoia Leukosías v Sport Lisboa e Benfica
    Starts
    Entry
    74¢ (the message said 72¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica"; market auto-discovered from the matchup line "AS Omónoia Leukosías vs Sport Lisboa": single active match "AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica"; entry 74¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 72¢); entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 74¢ 16s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    won · Oct 22, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1160465 "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    AZ @ 71¢
    Ararat-Armenia FA v AZ
    Starts
    Entry
    71¢ (the message said 69¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AZ"; entry 71¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 69¢); entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 71¢ 16s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    won · Oct 22, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1154955 "AZ" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
27.95¢

76¢ × 70¢ × 74¢ × 71¢ = 27.95¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 27.95 − 1 = +2.58u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 22, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("FC Nordsjælland", FC Nordsjælland v PFK CSKA Sofia): gamma POLY-1155380 "FC Nordsjælland" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 2 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

crypto_strategy
rank #6 · season 2
Profile →
+9.72u
profit
60–54
record
114
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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