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← Open calls/Combo #326
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #326 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

42.09¢ · win pays +1.38u

Said · before resolutionOct 22, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1160465 Pick: Benfica to Win YES @ 74¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1160475 Pick: AC Milan Over 0.5 Goals @ 72¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1155426 Pick: Atalanta Over 0.5 Goals @ 79¢ Benfica’s European campaign gives me a reason to back them to get the result, while AC Milan’s recent 4–0 win over Salzburg strengthens my interest in them finding at least one goal against Bournemouth; Atalanta also showed their attacking threat with three goals against Pafos in their previous Conference League outing, so I’m backing them to get on the scoresheet against Ajax rather than needing them to win outright. #NFA #COMB

uguru0815 in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Sport Lisboa e Benfica @ 74¢
    AS Omónoia Leukosías v Sport Lisboa e Benfica
    Starts
    Entry
    74¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica"; entry is the caller's stated 74¢; the order book at the post moment reads 73.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 73.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 22, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1160465 "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Lost
    AC Milan Over 0.5 @ 72¢
    AFC Bournemouth v AC Milan - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    72¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan - More Markets"; "AC Milan Over 0.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan - More Markets" (POLY-1160553); entry is the caller's stated 72¢; the order book at the post moment reads 71¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 71.0¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 22, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1160553 "AC Milan O/U 0.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3 · decided the comboLost
    Atalanta BC Over 0.5 @ 79¢
    AFC Ajax v Atalanta BC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    79¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC - More Markets"; "Atalanta Over 0.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC - More Markets" (POLY-1157447); entry is the caller's stated 79¢; the order book at the post moment reads 78¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 78.0¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 22, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1157447 "Atalanta BC O/U 0.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
42.09¢

74¢ × 72¢ × 79¢ = 42.09¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 42.09 − 1 = +1.38u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 22, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 3: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 3 ("Atalanta BC Over 0.5", AFC Ajax v Atalanta BC - More Markets): gamma POLY-1157447 "Atalanta BC O/U 0.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 1 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

uguru0815
rank #8 · season 2
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+8.37u
profit
35–22
record
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How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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