Combo · 2 legs
54.75¢ · win pays +0.83u
Risk: 🔴 Super Degen High Risk ATP250 - Almaty 🇰🇿 Pick: 🇷🇺 D. Medvedev -1.5 @ 73c Reason: Medvedev’s edge is the return and the break rate. He takes the ball early and the higher break rate (27.1%) and return points won (40.1%) are the numbers that decide service games. Shimabukuro’s edge is the ability to hold at a decent rate when the first serve is landing. He takes it early and the first-serve points won are close, but the return gap is too wide. The problem for Shimabukuro is that he cannot take Medvedev’s serve often enough to offset the points he loses once the rally starts. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1223267 ATP250 - European Open - Brussels 🇧🇪 Pick: 🇺🇸 Michelsen -1.5 @ 75c Reason: Michelsen is the one who posts the higher serve impact and unreturned-serve rate and has been more consistent in recent events. Goffin is the one who just held serve through a three-set win against Bertola and is playing at home. On indoor hard the serve impact and unreturned serves favor the American. He takes the ball early off the serve and the numbers from the last 10 tournaments show he can finish short points at a higher rate than Goffin has managed against similar returns. Goffin takes it early and the home crowd can still give him an early lift, but the serve impact gap is the one that has already decided similar matchups when the first serve is landing. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1232231 *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa #combo
- Leg 1WonDaniil Medvedev -1.5 sets @ 73¢Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev v Sho Shimabukuro
- Starts
- Entry
- 73¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro"; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 73.8¢ 19s from the post, within a cent of the entry - Result
- won · Oct 22, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1223267 "Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Daniil Medvedev" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 2WonAlex Michelsen -1.5 sets @ 75¢European Open: David Goffin v Alex Michelsen
- Starts
- Entry
- 75¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "European Open: David Goffin vs Alex Michelsen"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 22, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1232231 "European Open: David Goffin vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Alex Michelsen" price 0.995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
73¢ × 75¢ = 54.75¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 54.75 − 1 = +0.83u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.
Verification details
Counts toward Season 2: combo 3 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.
- One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
- Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
- A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
- A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
- Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.