LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #306 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

50.92¢ · win pays +0.96u

Said · before resolutionOct 21, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

PICK 4 COMBO: 1. FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC Pick: Over 1.5 @ 83¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1154850 My reason: Bayern Munich will host Arsenal in a Champions League encounter. In terms of credibility, Bayern are the clear favorites, partly due to the home-field advantage; however, it is unfortunate that one of their most active players, Michael Olise, will be unable to feature in this major match. 2. Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC Pick: Over 1.5 @ 83¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1149404 My reason: Como is an Italian league club with incredible spirit; this is a moment the entire Como team has been eagerly awaiting—the chance to play against MU. I believe Como will perform well enough to defeat MU on their home turf. 3. Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens Pick: Over 1.5 @ 87¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1154838 My reason: Club Brugge should not be underestimated; we must remember that in their previous match, this dark horse team defeated Inter Milan with a fantastic score of 4–3. Therefore, in this encounter, Club Brugge could very well score at least two goals. 4. Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK Pick: Under 4,5 @ 81¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1149409 My reason: The encounter between Lille and Galatasaray is likely to be quite tight, as both teams are eager to win while also strengthening their defenses; consequently, no more than 3 goals will be scored in this match. #NFA #COMBO

crypto_strategy in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗

Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse

Leg 1Won
Over 1.5 @ 84¢
FC Bayern München v Arsenal FC - More Markets
Starts
Oct 21, 19:00 UTC
Entry
84¢ (the message said 83¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets"; "Over 1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets" (POLY-1154903); entry 84¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 83¢); entry checked against the trade tape: only a bid print (83¢) inside 20s of the post, and the entry is not below it
Result
won · Oct 21, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1154903 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Leg 2Won
Over 1.5 @ 84¢
Como 1907 v Manchester United FC - More Markets
Starts
Oct 21, 16:45 UTC
Entry
84¢ (the message said 83¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC - More Markets"; "Over 1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC - More Markets" (POLY-1149449); entry 84¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 83¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
Result
won · Oct 21, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1149449 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Leg 3Won
Over 1.5 @ 88¢
Club Brugge KV v Racing Club de Lens - More Markets
Starts
Oct 21, 19:00 UTC
Entry
88¢ (the message said 87¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 3: event "Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens - More Markets"; "Over 1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens - More Markets" (POLY-1154905); entry 88¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 87¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
Result
won · Oct 21, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1154905 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Leg 4 · decided the comboLost
Under 4.5 @ 82¢
Lille OSC v Galatasaray SK - More Markets
Starts
Oct 21, 16:45 UTC
Entry
82¢ (the message said 81¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 4: event "Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK - More Markets"; "Under 4,5" is on this fixture's companion event "Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK - More Markets" (POLY-1149448); entry 82¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 81¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
Result
lost · Oct 21, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1149448 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)

50.92¢

84¢ × 84¢ × 88¢ × 82¢ = 50.92¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 50.92 − 1 = +0.96u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 21, 2026 · market settlement

Lost on leg 4: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.

-1.00uat a 1-unit stake

Verification details

lost on leg 4 ("Under 4.5", Lille OSC v Galatasaray SK - More Markets): gamma POLY-1149448 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Not counted: over the 15-combo weekly cap (week 3): the first 15 combos of a season week count, by posting time; this one was combo #16. The week resets Thursday 00:00 UTC.

crypto_strategy

rank #6 · season 2

Profile →

+9.72u

profit

60–54

record

114

graded

form · last 10

How a combo scores

One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.

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