LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #300 · Season 2
Combo · 3 legs
52.46¢ · win pays +0.91u
Said · before resolutionOct 21, 2026 · timestamped in Discord
1) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1154828 picking Sporting CP @ 82¢ 2) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1154833 picking Aston Villa FC @ 80¢ 3) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1154823 picking Real Madrid CF @ 79¢ Sporting have six UCL points and a longer rest, though their injuries and old H2H favoring LASK temper that leg. Villa’s 11 straight European home wins and Madrid’s three straight wins support the other two, while both have absences to watch. #combo #nfa
nexasxw in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
- Leg 1 · decided the comboLostSporting CP @ 83¢Sporting CP v LASK Linz
- Starts
- Entry
- 83¢ (the message said 82¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz"; entry 83¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 82¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- lost · Oct 21, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1154828 "Sporting CP" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 2WonAston Villa FC @ 80¢Aston Villa FC v Viking FK
- Starts
- Entry
- 80¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 21, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1154833 "Aston Villa FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 3WonReal Madrid CF @ 79¢Real Madrid CF v RB Leipzig
- Starts
- Entry
- 79¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 3: event "Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 21, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1154823 "Real Madrid CF" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
52.46¢
83¢ × 80¢ × 79¢ = 52.46¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 52.46 − 1 = +0.91u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.
ResolvedOct 21, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Sporting CP", Sporting CP v LASK Linz): gamma POLY-1154828 "Sporting CP" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter
Counts toward Season 2: combo 1 of 15 in week 3, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.
How a combo scores
- One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
- Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
- A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
- A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
- Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.