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← Open calls/Combo #299
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #299 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

29.64¢ · win pays +2.37u

Said · before resolutionOct 21, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

For the last combo of the day... if you want to ape go on ML, im just stretching for better odds and usualy when i do this i get hard fked... <:kekcat:1239862927398277180> Risk: 🔴 Super Degen High Risk ATP250 - Lyon Open 🇫🇷 Pick: 🇺🇸 T. Paul -1.5 @ 52c Reason: Paul is the one who holds at 84.1% and wins 53.9% of second-serve points. Bonzi is the one who just held serve against Norrie in front of the home crowd. If Paul’s first serve looks like the last-52 numbers, he should control the service games and come through easily. If it sits and Bonzi’s return forces extra balls the way it has against lower-level servers, then he can drag this into distance. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1226639 ATP250 - Lyon Open 🇫🇷 Pick: 🇮🇹 L. Musetti -1.5 @ 54c Reason: Musetti holds at 82.5% and breaks at 24.1%. Kouame is the one who just held serve against Sonego and saved every break point. On indoor hard the higher hold and break rate favor the Italian. He takes the ball early and the numbers from the last 52 matches show he can finish short and middle points at a higher rate than Kouame has managed. Kouame takes it early and the height can still produce free points, but the hold gap and the break-rate gap are the ones that have already decided similar matches against lower-level servers. If Musetti’s first serve looks like the last-52 numbers, he should control the service games and come through in two. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1220539 *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa #combo

snk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Tommy Paul -1.5 sets @ 52¢
    Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi v Tommy Paul
    Starts
    Entry
    52¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 21, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1226639 "Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Tommy Paul" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Lorenzo Musetti -1.5 sets @ 57¢
    Lyon Open: Moise Kouame v Lorenzo Musetti
    Starts
    Entry
    57¢ (the message said 54¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti"; entry 57¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 54¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 21, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1220539 "Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Lorenzo Musetti" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
29.64¢

52¢ × 57¢ = 29.64¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 29.64 − 1 = +2.37u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 21, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Tommy Paul -1.5 sets", Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi v Tommy Paul): gamma POLY-1226639 "Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Tommy Paul" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 12 of 15 in week 3, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.