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← Open calls/Combo #290
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #290 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

38.71¢ · win pays +1.58u

Said · before resolutionOct 20, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

SOCCER 4 PICK COMBO: 1. Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha pick: FENERBAHCE @ 62¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1143914 My reason: Fenerbahçe is performing very well in the Turkish league, sitting in third place in the current standings with 15 points. Notably, the team has managed to score 22 goals in just 8 matches. 2. Manchester City FC vs. AEK pick: MANCHESTER CITY @ 87¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1149349 My reason: Manchester City will play on their home turf; while this match carries a fair amount of prestige, it may ultimately serve as an entertaining spectacle for the fans—a testament to City’s formidable capabilities. 3. Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona pick: FC BARCELONA +1.5 @ 78¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1149399 My reason: FC Barcelona is a giant club in Spain. This encounter promises to be a heated match for both sides; although Barcelona will be playing away from home, their morale remains unshaken. It is well known that Barcelona’s squad is packed with star players, such as Yamal, Pedri, Raphinha, Rodri, and others. 4. AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava pick: AS ROMA @ 86¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1149360 My reason: AS Roma are currently in top form; they are certain to win this match, likely by at least a 3-0 scoreline. Playing on their home turf gives Roma a distinct advantage. #NFA #COMBO

crypto_strategy in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Fenerbahçe SK @ 64¢
    Fenerbahçe SK v SK Slavia Praha
    Traded on Jupiter
    Starts
    Entry
    64¢ (the message said 62¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha"; entry 64¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 62¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 20, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1143914 "Fenerbahçe SK" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Manchester City FC @ 88¢
    Manchester City FC v AEK
    Starts
    Entry
    88¢ (the message said 87¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Manchester City FC vs. AEK"; entry 88¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 87¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 20, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1149349 "Manchester City FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Lost
    FC Barcelona +1.5 @ 79¢
    Paris Saint-Germain FC v FC Barcelona - More Markets
    Traded on Jupiter
    Starts
    Entry
    79¢ (the message said 78¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona - More Markets"; "FC BARCELONA +1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona - More Markets" (POLY-1149450); entry 79¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 78¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 20, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1149450 "Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)" outcome "FC Barcelona" price 0.03 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    AS Roma @ 87¢
    AS Roma v ŠK Slovan Bratislava
    Starts
    Entry
    87¢ (the message said 86¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava"; entry 87¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 86¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 20, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1149360 "AS Roma" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
38.71¢

64¢ × 88¢ × 79¢ × 87¢ = 38.71¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 38.71 − 1 = +1.58u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 20, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Fenerbahçe SK", Fenerbahçe SK v SK Slavia Praha): gamma POLY-1143914 "Fenerbahçe SK" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 15 of 15 in week 3, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

crypto_strategy
rank #6 · season 2
Profile →
+9.72u
profit
60–54
record
114
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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