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← Open calls/Combo #270
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #270 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

44.22¢ · win pays +1.26u

Said · before resolutionOct 19, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

Okay bois, trying a couple combos for today, don't ape much plz <:kekcat:1239862927398277180> Risk: 🔴 Super Degen High Risk ATP250 - Almaty 🇰🇿 Pick: 🇦🇷 T. Agustin Tirante @ 73c Reason: Tirante arrives with the higher first-serve points won, the higher serve points won, the higher hold, the higher break rate, the higher return points won, the higher total points won, the higher ace percentage, the dominance ratio and the head-to-head. Diaz Acosta arrives with the higher first-serve in percentage. The statistical gaps that matter most are on the first-serve points won and the break. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1206111 ATP250 - European Open - Brussels 🇧🇪 Pick: 🇺🇸 A. Michelsen @ 83c Reason: Michelsen’s edge is the first-serve points won and the level of recent opposition. He takes the ball early and the higher first-serve points won in ATP weeks are the numbers that decide service games. Guerrieri needs the return to show up and the points to stay long enough for his consistency to matter. Indoor hard rewards the player who holds serve more often against higher-level returns. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1214738 ATP250 - Almaty 🇰🇿 Pick: 🇬🇷 S. Sakellaridis @ 72c Reason: Sakellaridis’s edge is the first serve, the current form, and the physical freshness. He takes the ball early and the 82 % first-serve points won plus the 18 of 19 hold rate from the qualifier are the numbers that decide service games once the rally starts. Kukushkin needs a fast start in front of the home crowd and the points to stay long enough for his experience to matter, but with the lack of match practice and fitness potentially becoming more apparent as the match progresses. The statistical gaps that matter most are on the first serve and the freshness. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1212791 *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa #combo

snk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 74¢
    Almaty Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante v Facundo Acosta
    Starts
    Entry
    74¢ (the message said 73¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Almaty Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Facundo Acosta"; entry 74¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 73¢); entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 74¢ 20s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    lost · Oct 19, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1206111 "Almaty Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Facundo Acosta" outcome "Thiago Agustin Tirante" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Alex Michelsen @ 83¢
    European Open: Andrea Guerrieri v Alex Michelsen
    Starts
    Entry
    83¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "European Open: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex Michelsen"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 19, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1214738 "European Open: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex Michelsen" outcome "Alex Michelsen" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Lost
    Stefanos Sakellaridis @ 72¢
    Almaty Open: Mikhail Kukushkin v Stefanos Sakellaridis
    Starts
    Entry
    72¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Almaty Open: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 19, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1212791 "Almaty Open: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis" outcome "Stefanos Sakellaridis" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
44.22¢

74¢ × 83¢ × 72¢ = 44.22¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 44.22 − 1 = +1.26u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 19, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Thiago Agustin Tirante", Almaty Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante v Facundo Acosta): gamma POLY-1206111 "Almaty Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Facundo Acosta" outcome "Thiago Agustin Tirante" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 5 of 15 in week 3, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.