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← Open calls/Combo #265
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #265 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

36.40¢ · win pays +1.75u

Said · before resolutionOct 18, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1134907 Pick Freiburg +2.5 at 79c Freiburg is not an easy opponent to defeat; their statistics are truly remarkable. In their last 10 matches, Freiburg has remained undefeated, securing 9 wins and just 1 draw. In my opinion, this encounter will end in a 1-1 draw, or Freiburg will win 1-0. Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1138933 Pick Over 2.5 Goal at 77c Al Hilal is a club in the Saudi league that currently sits at the top of the standings; in several of their recent matches, they have scored more than 3 goals. FC Twente vs. FC Utrecht https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1137487 Pick Twente at 71c Twente is a Dutch league club characterized by a fast-paced style of play; they aim to secure points within the first 10 minutes to ensure greater stability for the remainder of the match. Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1135442 Pick Real Madrid at 79c Real Madrid currently sits in 4th place in the standings; this match is their only way to hold their position or climb higher in the table. I believe Madrid will secure a convincing 3-0 victory. #nfa #combo

fukangan in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    SC Freiburg +2.5 @ 81¢
    Bayer 04 Leverkusen v SC Freiburg - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    81¢ (the message said 79¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg - More Markets"; "Freiburg +2.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg - More Markets" (POLY-1135266); entry 81¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 79¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 18, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1135266 "Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)" outcome "SC Freiburg" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Lost
    Over 2.5 @ 79¢
    Al Hilal Saudi Club v Al Hazem SC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    79¢ (the message said 77¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC - More Markets"; "Over 2.5 Goal" is on this fixture's companion event "Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC - More Markets" (POLY-1139887); entry 79¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 77¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 19, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1139887 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3 · decided the comboLost
    FC Twente @ 72¢
    FC Twente v FC Utrecht
    Starts
    Entry
    72¢ (the message said 71¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "FC Twente vs. FC Utrecht"; entry 72¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 71¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 18, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1137487 "FC Twente" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    Real Madrid CF @ 79¢
    Real Madrid CF v Sevilla FC
    Starts
    Entry
    79¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 18, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1135442 "Real Madrid CF" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
36.40¢

81¢ × 79¢ × 72¢ × 79¢ = 36.40¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 36.40 − 1 = +1.75u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 18, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 3: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 3 ("FC Twente", FC Twente v FC Utrecht): gamma POLY-1137487 "FC Twente" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 15 of 15 in week 3, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

fukangan
rank #39 · season 2
Profile →
-5.64u
profit
40–59
record
99
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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