LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #255 · Season 2
Combo · 4 legs
44.52¢ · win pays +1.25u
Said · before resolutionOct 17, 2026 · timestamped in Discord
4 COMBO Atlético arrive with strong momentum and will look to use their defensive organisation and attacking transitions to take control. Pick: Espanyol to win No @87c https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1129046 Brentford’s home form makes them dangerous, but Liverpool have enough attacking quality to find a way through. Am being cautious with Liverpool’s reported injuries… pick: Branford to score @ 82c https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1128431 City should have the quality to dominate possession and create consistent pressure. Their biggest task will be turning that control into goals. pick: Manchester city win @78c https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1128443 Napoli are my preferred side against a Venezia team that has struggled badly early in the campaign. Leading to the sack of their manager let’s see if the new manager could bring a response. pick: Venezia to win No @ 80c https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1127406 #NFA #COMBO
connection23.05.2023 in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
- Leg 1WonNo: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona @ 87¢RCD Espanyol de Barcelona v Club Atlético de Madrid
- Starts
- Entry
- 87¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid"; hindsight guard cleared by the order book at post time (86.5¢, 21s old); entry is the caller's stated 87¢; the order book at the post moment reads 86.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 86.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 17, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1129046 "RCD Espanyol de Barcelona" outcome "No" price 1 uma=resolved closed=true
- Leg 2LostBranford to score @ 82¢Brentford FC v Liverpool FC - More Markets
- Starts
- Entry
- 82¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC - More Markets"; "Branford to score" is on this fixture's companion event "Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC - More Markets" (POLY-1128882); entry is the caller's stated 82¢; the order book at the post moment reads 34¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 34.0¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- lost · Oct 17, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1128882 "Both Teams to Score in Second Half" outcome "Yes" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 3WonManchester City FC @ 78¢Manchester City FC v Ipswich Town FC
- Starts
- Entry
- 78¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 3: event "Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC"; hindsight guard cleared by the order book at post time (77.5¢, 23s old); the mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post) read 77.5¢ while the tape was paying 78¢ 1s from the post; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 78¢ 1s from the post, within a cent of the entry - Result
- won · Oct 17, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1128443 "Manchester City FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 4 · decided the comboLostNo: Venezia FC @ 80¢Venezia FC v SSC Napoli
- Starts
- Entry
- 80¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 4: event "Venezia FC vs. SSC Napoli"; hindsight guard cleared by the order book at post time (79.5¢, 20s old); entry is the caller's stated 80¢; the order book at the post moment reads 79.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 79.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- lost · Oct 17, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1127406 "Venezia FC" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
44.52¢
87¢ × 82¢ × 78¢ × 80¢ = 44.52¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 44.52 − 1 = +1.25u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.
ResolvedOct 17, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 4: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 4 ("Venezia FC No", Venezia FC v SSC Napoli): gamma POLY-1127406 "Venezia FC" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter
Counts toward Season 2: combo 1 of 15 in week 3, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.
How a combo scores
- One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
- Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
- A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
- A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
- Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.