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← Open calls/Combo #253
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #253 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

38.30¢ · win pays +1.61u

Said · before resolutionOct 17, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1128433 Pick: Brest to Win NO @ 74¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1128424 Pick: Draw NO @ 84¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1128445 Pick: SC Paderborn 07 to Win NO @ 78¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1128430 Pick: Draw NO @ 79¢ Brest to Win NO leaves room for Lille to take control or the match to finish level. Strasbourg against Paris Saint-Germain is backed to produce a decisive result rather than a stalemate. Paderborn to Win NO covers a Werder Bremen victory or a draw, while Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund also has room for either side to edge the contest. #NFA #COMBO

greenedgeok in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    No: Stade Brestois 29 @ 74¢
    Lille OSC v Stade Brestois 29
    Starts
    Entry
    74¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29"; entry is the caller's stated 74¢; the order book at the post moment reads 73.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 73.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 17, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1128433 "Stade Brestois 29" outcome "No" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    No: Draw @ 84¢
    RC Strasbourg Alsace v Paris Saint-Germain FC
    Starts
    Entry
    84¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC"; entry is the caller's stated 84¢; the order book at the post moment reads 83.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 83.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 17, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1128424 "Draw (RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC)" outcome "No" price 0.995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    No: SC Paderborn 07 @ 78¢
    SV Werder Bremen v SC Paderborn 07
    Starts
    Entry
    78¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "SV Werder Bremen vs. SC Paderborn 07"; entry is the caller's stated 78¢; the order book at the post moment reads 78.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 78.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 17, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1128445 "SC Paderborn 07" outcome "No" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4 · decided the comboLost
    No: Draw @ 79¢
    1. FC Union Berlin v BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
    Starts
    Entry
    79¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund"; entry is the caller's stated 79¢; the order book at the post moment reads 78.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 78.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 17, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1128430 "Draw (1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund)" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
38.30¢

74¢ × 84¢ × 78¢ × 79¢ = 38.30¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 38.30 − 1 = +1.61u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 17, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 4: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 4 ("Draw No", 1. FC Union Berlin v BV Borussia 09 Dortmund): gamma POLY-1128430 "Draw (1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund)" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 13 of 15 in week 3, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

greenedgeok
rank #48 · season 2
Profile →
-15.09u
profit
49–64
record
113
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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