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← Open calls/Combo #242
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #242 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

45.27¢ · win pays +1.21u

Said · before resolutionOct 17, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

Venezia FC vs. SSC Napoli https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1127406 Pick NO Venezia at 80c Venezia is a bottom-tier Italian league club; even though they are playing at home, I am not very confident that they will win the match. Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1129052 Pick Villareal at 68c Villarreal will host their opponent at their usual home ground. Playing on home turf is a major advantage for any club; in fact, most teams tend to win when playing at home. Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1128431 Pick Liverpool +1.5 at 80c Liverpool has lost its best form in the Premier League, so I’m hesitant to pick them to win; the best option, therefore, is to go with +1.5 for Liverpool. #nfa #combo

fukangan in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    No: Venezia FC @ 81¢
    Venezia FC v SSC Napoli
    Starts
    Entry
    81¢ (the message said 80¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Venezia FC vs. SSC Napoli"; entry 81¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 80¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 17, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1127406 "Venezia FC" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Lost
    Villarreal CF @ 69¢
    Villarreal CF v Elche CF
    Starts
    Entry
    69¢ (the message said 68¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF"; entry 69¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 68¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 17, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1129052 "Villarreal CF" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Liverpool FC +1.5 @ 81¢
    Brentford FC v Liverpool FC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    81¢ (the message said 80¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC - More Markets"; "Liverpool +1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC - More Markets" (POLY-1128882); entry 81¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 80¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 17, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1128882 "Brentford FC (-1.5)" outcome "Liverpool FC" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
45.27¢

81¢ × 69¢ × 81¢ = 45.27¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 45.27 − 1 = +1.21u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 17, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Venezia FC No", Venezia FC v SSC Napoli): gamma POLY-1127406 "Venezia FC" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 10 of 15 in week 3, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

fukangan
rank #39 · season 2
Profile →
-5.64u
profit
40–59
record
99
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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