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← Open calls/Combo #241
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #241 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

19.79¢ · win pays +4.05u

Said · before resolutionOct 17, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1128425 Pick NO Everton at 68c Chelsea is often underestimated by most people, but in reality, it is a big club—even if its current performance is not particularly good. Everton may be favored while playing at home, but Chelsea is no easy opponent. 1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1128430 Pick Dortmund at 61c Dortmund is synonymous with the colors yellow and black, which symbolize the club's prosperity. Often, their victories slip away in the final minutes; however, Dortmund should be able to learn from these mistakes to ensure they can secure their wins. Southampton FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1128462 Pick Southampton at 68c Southampton plays in the second tier of English football, but their standing is nothing to sneeze at—they currently sit in third place in the league table. To avoid slipping from their position, Southampton will play with great intensity, constantly pressing their opponents in pursuit of a win. Middlesbrough FC vs. Cardiff City FC https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1128427 Pick Middlesbrough at 66c Middlesbrough will play aggressively in this match to secure a win; it seems likely that Middlesbrough will emerge victorious, though by a narrow scoreline—either 1-0 or 2-1. #nfa #combo

fukangan in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    No: Everton FC @ 68¢
    Everton FC v Chelsea FC
    Starts
    Entry
    68¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC"; entry checked against the trade tape: only a bid print (67¢) inside 20s of the post, and the entry is not below it
    Result
    won · Oct 17, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1128425 "Everton FC" outcome "No" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Lost
    BV Borussia 09 Dortmund @ 63¢
    1. FC Union Berlin v BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
    Starts
    Entry
    63¢ (the message said 61¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund"; entry 63¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 61¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 17, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1128430 "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Lost
    Southampton FC @ 70¢
    Southampton FC v Bolton Wanderers FC
    Starts
    Entry
    70¢ (the message said 68¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Southampton FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC"; entry 70¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 68¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 17, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1128462 "Southampton FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4 · decided the comboLost
    Middlesbrough FC @ 66¢
    Middlesbrough FC v Cardiff City FC
    Starts
    Entry
    66¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "Middlesbrough FC vs. Cardiff City FC"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 17, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1128427 "Middlesbrough FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
19.79¢

68¢ × 63¢ × 70¢ × 66¢ = 19.79¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 19.79 − 1 = +4.05u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 17, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 4: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 4 ("Middlesbrough FC", Middlesbrough FC v Cardiff City FC): gamma POLY-1128427 "Middlesbrough FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 9 of 15 in week 3, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

fukangan
rank #39 · season 2
Profile →
-5.64u
profit
40–59
record
99
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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