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← Open calls/Combo #229
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #229 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

24.08¢ · win pays +3.15u

Said · before resolutionOct 17, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

SOCCER PICK 4 COMBO 1. ADO Den Haag vs. PSV Pick: PSV @ 75¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1124633 My reason: PSV is a well-respected side in the Dutch league; they play with great precision and currently sit in third place. Against a lower-ranked club, PSV would likely win by a score of at least 2-0 or 3-1. 2. Telstar 1963 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam Pick: FEYENOORD @ 71¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1131135 My reason: Feyenoord, the current league leaders, employ a distinct style of play; they often look to secure points in the opening minutes to lock down a victory. In their most recent Champions League match, they managed to defeat the dark-horse side COMO with a score of 3–2. 3. 1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund Pick: BORUSSIA 09 DORTMUND @ 70¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1128430 My reason: Dortmund has been performing quite well in the German league, but their form has dipped in the last two matches—they even failed to score against Bodø/Glimt. Does this mean Dortmund is running out of steam? We shall see; I personally believe Dortmund will win this match. 4. Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano Pick: INTERNAZIONALE MILANO @ 61¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1127409 My reason: Inter Milan currently sits at the top of the Serie A table, remaining undefeated thus far; however, it is a different story in the Champions League, where the team seems to have lost its magic on the pitch. In my view, Inter is a club that specializes in turning things around in the final minutes. #NFA #COMBO

crypto_strategy in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Lost
    PSV @ 76¢
    ADO Den Haag v PSV
    Starts
    Entry
    76¢ (the message said 75¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "ADO Den Haag vs. PSV"; entry 76¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 75¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 17, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1124633 "PSV" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Feyenoord Rotterdam @ 73¢
    Telstar 1963 v Feyenoord Rotterdam
    Starts
    Entry
    73¢ (the message said 71¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Telstar 1963 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam"; entry 73¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 71¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 17, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1131135 "Feyenoord Rotterdam" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3 · decided the comboLost
    BV Borussia 09 Dortmund @ 70¢
    1. FC Union Berlin v BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
    Traded on Jupiter
    Starts
    Entry
    70¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund"; entry is the caller's stated 70¢: the order-book ask at post time read 62¢, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 17, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1128430 "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    FC Internazionale Milano @ 62¢
    Bologna FC 1909 v FC Internazionale Milano
    Traded on Jupiter
    Starts
    Entry
    62¢ (the message said 61¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano"; entry 62¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 61¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 17, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1127409 "FC Internazionale Milano" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
24.08¢

76¢ × 73¢ × 70¢ × 62¢ = 24.08¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 24.08 − 1 = +3.15u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 17, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 3: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 3 ("BV Borussia 09 Dortmund", 1. FC Union Berlin v BV Borussia 09 Dortmund): gamma POLY-1128430 "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 12 of 15 in week 3, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

crypto_strategy
rank #6 · season 2
Profile →
+9.72u
profit
60–54
record
114
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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