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← Open calls/Combo #22
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #22 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

31.20¢ · win pays +2.21u

Said · before resolutionOct 4, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-909436 Taking Bengals -2.5 at 52 cents. 2) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-909433 Taking Under 52.5 at 60 cents. Bengals are 8-2 in L10 games in H2H and in each of those they have covered the spread of 3 points or more. Bengals also playing better at home crowd.Bills have 4th best offense in the league and NE 5th best defense. Since NE has trouble to score and Bill are mostly doing the run game, this should stay under. #NFA #COMBO

macximus in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Lost
    Bengals -2.5 @ 52¢
    Jaguars v Bengals
    Starts
    Entry
    52¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Jaguars vs. Bengals"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 4, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-909436 "Spread -2.5" outcome "Bengals" price 0.016 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    Under 52.5 @ 60¢
    Patriots v Bills
    Starts
    Entry
    60¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Patriots vs. Bills"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 4, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-909433 "O/U 52.5" outcome "Under" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
31.20¢

52¢ × 60¢ = 31.20¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 31.20 − 1 = +2.21u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 4, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("Under 52.5", Patriots v Bills): gamma POLY-909433 "O/U 52.5" outcome "Under" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 3 of 15 in week 1, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

macximus
rank #14 · season 2
Profile →
+1.45u
profit
12–7
record
19
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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