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← Open calls/Combo #214
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #214 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

36.92¢ · win pays +1.71u

Said · before resolutionOct 16, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

PICK 3 COMBO 1. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club Pick: AL QADISIYAH -1.5 @ 71¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1120569 My reason: Al-Qadsiah has emerged as a formidable new force, bolstered by a blend of talent from Europe and Latin America—a squad featuring a total of 12 star players. Thanks to this combination, Al-Qadsiah has secured several championship titles, including one in the Saudi Arabian second division. 2. Holstein Kiel vs. Hertha BSC Pick: NO HOLSTEIN KIEL @ 65¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1122460 My reason: This match promises to be quite exciting, with both sides likely to trade goals; while they are fairly similar in terms of statistics and playing style, Hertha Berlin actually holds a slight edge in dominance. 3. SC Heerenveen vs. SBV Excelsior Pick: SBV EXCELSIOR +2.5 @ 79¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1124632 My Reason: Statistically, this matchup is quite balanced between the two clubs. In their last five matches, both have recorded the exact same results: two draws, two losses, and one win. #NFA #COMBO

crypto_strategy in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club -1.5 @ 71¢
    Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club v Abha Saudi Club - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    71¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club - More Markets"; "AL QADISIYAH -1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club - More Markets" (POLY-1121549); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 16, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1121549 "Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)" outcome "Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    No: Holstein Kiel @ 65¢
    Holstein Kiel v Hertha BSC
    Starts
    Entry
    65¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Holstein Kiel vs. Hertha BSC"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 16, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1122460 "Holstein Kiel" outcome "No" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Lost
    SBV Excelsior +2.5 @ 80¢
    SC Heerenveen v SBV Excelsior - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    80¢ (the message said 79¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "SC Heerenveen vs. SBV Excelsior - More Markets"; "SBV EXCELSIOR +2.5" is on this fixture's companion event "SC Heerenveen vs. SBV Excelsior - More Markets" (POLY-1129067); entry 80¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 79¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 16, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1129067 "SC Heerenveen (-2.5)" outcome "SBV Excelsior" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
36.92¢

71¢ × 65¢ × 80¢ = 36.92¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 36.92 − 1 = +1.71u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 16, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club -1.5", Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club v Abha Saudi Club - More Markets): gamma POLY-1121549 "Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)" outcome "Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 10 of 15 in week 3, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

crypto_strategy
rank #6 · season 2
Profile →
+9.72u
profit
60–54
record
114
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.