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← Open calls/Combo #207
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #207 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

50.40¢ · win pays +0.98u

Said · before resolutionOct 16, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

Risk: 🔴 Super Degen High Risk Challenger - Olbia 🇮🇹 Pick: 🇬🇧 J. Fearnley @ 71c Reason: Fearnley’s edge is the first serve and the short point. He takes the ball early and ends more points when the serve lands. Mrva’s edge is the return in longer points. He takes the ball early and looks to extend once the rally starts. Hard sits the second serve up less than clay, which is the ball Fearnley already wins more of in these conditions. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1195243 Challenger - Roanne 🇫🇷 Pick: 🇫🇷 S. Gueymard-Wayenburg @ 70c Reason: Gueymard’s edge is the first serve and the short point. He takes the ball early and ends more points when the serve lands. Martineau’s edge is the one-handed backhand and the return in longer points. He takes the ball early and looks to extend once the rally starts. Indoor hard sits the second serve up less than clay, which is the ball Gueymard already wins more of in these conditions. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1195244 *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa #combo

snk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Jacob Fearnley @ 72¢
    Olbia: Jacob Fearnley v Maxim Mrva
    Starts
    Entry
    72¢ (the message said 71¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Olbia: Jacob Fearnley vs Maxim Mrva"; entry 72¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 71¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 16, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1195243 "Olbia: Jacob Fearnley vs Maxim Mrva" outcome "Jacob Fearnley" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg @ 70¢
    Roanne: Matteo Martineau v Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
    Starts
    Entry
    70¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Roanne: Matteo Martineau vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 16, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1195244 "Roanne: Matteo Martineau vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg" outcome "Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
50.40¢

72¢ × 70¢ = 50.40¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 50.40 − 1 = +0.98u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 16, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg", Roanne: Matteo Martineau v Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg): gamma POLY-1195244 "Roanne: Matteo Martineau vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg" outcome "Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 2 of 15 in week 3, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.