LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #198 · Season 2
Combo · 2 legs
50.32¢ · win pays +0.99u
Said · before resolutionOct 15, 2026 · timestamped in Discord
https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1120170 Pick: RC Celta de Vigo to Win NO @ 74¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1120169 Pick: Olympiacos FC to Win NO @ 68¢ Celta have drawn eight of their opening league matches and lost their Europa League opener, while Olympiacos face a Marseille side at the Vélodrome, where the Greek side will need to overcome a difficult away environment to win. #NFA #COMBO
zubycharles in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
- Leg 1WonNo: RC Celta de Vigo @ 74¢RC Celta de Vigo v Juventus FC
- Starts
- Entry
- 74¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC"; entry is the caller's stated 74¢; the order book at the post moment reads 73.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 73.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 15, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1120170 "RC Celta de Vigo" outcome "No" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 2 · decided the comboLostNo: Olympiakós SFP @ 68¢Olympique de Marseille v Olympiakós SFP
- Starts
- Entry
- 68¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympiakós SFP"; entry is the caller's stated 68¢; the order book at the post moment reads 67.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 67.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- lost · Oct 15, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1120169 "Olympiakós SFP" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
50.32¢
74¢ × 68¢ = 50.32¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 50.32 − 1 = +0.99u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.
ResolvedOct 15, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("Olympiakós SFP No", Olympique de Marseille v Olympiakós SFP): gamma POLY-1120169 "Olympiakós SFP" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter
Counts toward Season 2: combo 6 of 15 in week 3, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.
How a combo scores
- One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
- Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
- A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
- A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
- Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.