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← Open calls/Combo #19
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #19 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

25.38¢ · win pays +2.94u

Said · before resolutionOct 4, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1057946 Picking Austria at 47c 2) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1057951 Picking Germany at 54c Ok this is the risky one and last one of today, high chance of one or the other fucking up. Austria is in good form (3-1 against Israel, 3-1 against Kosovo, late 2-2 against Ireland after being down 2-0), if the logic is respected Austria should beat Kosovo, even if it's away. Germany... Oh Germany... They just lost to this Greek team 1-0, but it was more of a "lucky W" by Greece than Germany being very bad. They might not seem very inshape from their results, but I actually watched their whole match against Serbia (2-0), and they actually played very good, they should've scored atleast 5 or 6 there and could've ended up same as England yesterday. I don't see them messing up a second time, this squad seems to heat up in power. #NFA #COMBO

Ecstasya in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Austria @ 47¢
    Kosovo v Austria
    Starts
    Entry
    47¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Kosovo vs. Austria"; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 47¢ 14s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    lost · Oct 4, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1057946 "Austria" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Lost
    Germany @ 54¢
    Greece v Germany
    Starts
    Entry
    54¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Greece vs. Germany"; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 54¢ 2s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    lost · Oct 4, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1057951 "Germany" outcome "Yes" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
25.38¢

47¢ × 54¢ = 25.38¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 25.38 − 1 = +2.94u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 4, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Austria", Kosovo v Austria): gamma POLY-1057946 "Austria" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 5 of 15 in week 1, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

Ecstasya
rank #9 · season 2
Profile →
+2.82u
profit
16–13
record
29
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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