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← Open calls/Combo #189
WONPredictions · ComboCombo #189 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

33.42¢ · win pays +1.99u

Said · before resolutionOct 15, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

UEFA CONFERENCE PICK 4 COMBO 1. SC Freiburg vs. FK Jablonec Pick: SC FREIBURG @ 82¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1115490 My reason: This season, Freiburg is competing in the UEFA Conference League and is scheduled to face clubs such as AS Monaco and FK Jablonec in the group stage. In terms of goal-scoring statistics, Freiburg has averaged 3 goals per match. 2. FC Twente vs. FC Thun Pick: FC TWENTE @ 81¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1115491 My reason: An interesting fact about FC Twente is that the club was formed through the merger of two local clubs: Sportclub Enschede and Enschedese Boys. Throughout its history, FC Twente has also managed to secure several prestigious domestic trophies. 3. PFK CSKA Sofia vs. AS Monaco FC Pick: AS MONACO @ 67¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1115469 My reason: AS Monaco currently sits at the top of the league table, marking the club's best-ever record. One of their key players, Paris Brunner, is leading the way as the current top scorer with 4 goals. 4. Atalanta BC vs. Páfos FC Pick: ATALANTA BC @ 72¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1115487 My reason: Atalanta is one of the busiest clubs in Italy. The club is currently competing in several major tournaments, including Serie A, the UEFA Conference League, and the Coppa Italia. Based on their performance statistics on the pitch, Atalanta has been playing quite well recently. #NFA #COMBO

crypto_strategy in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    SC Freiburg @ 82¢
    SC Freiburg v FK Jablonec
    Starts
    Entry
    82¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "SC Freiburg vs. FK Jablonec"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 15, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1115490 "SC Freiburg" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    FC Twente @ 81¢
    FC Twente v FC Thun
    Starts
    Entry
    81¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "FC Twente vs. FC Thun"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 15, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1115491 "FC Twente" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    AS Monaco FC @ 68¢
    PFK CSKA Sofia v AS Monaco FC
    Traded on Jupiter
    Starts
    Entry
    68¢ (the message said 67¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "PFK CSKA Sofia vs. AS Monaco FC"; entry 68¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 67¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 15, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1115469 "AS Monaco FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    Atalanta BC @ 74¢
    Atalanta BC v Páfos FC
    Starts
    Entry
    74¢ (the message said 72¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "Atalanta BC vs. Páfos FC"; entry 74¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 72¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 15, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1115487 "Atalanta BC" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
33.42¢

82¢ × 81¢ × 68¢ × 74¢ = 33.42¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 33.42 − 1 = +1.99u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 15, 2026 · market settlement
Won: every leg won. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
+1.99uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 33.42 − 1)
Verification details
won: every leg won (82¢ × 81¢ × 68¢ × 74¢ = 33.42¢, pays +1.99u)

Counts toward Season 2: combo 7 of 15 in week 3, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

crypto_strategy
rank #6 · season 2
Profile →
+9.72u
profit
60–54
record
114
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.