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← Open calls/Combo #181
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #181 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

18.11¢ · win pays +4.52u

Said · before resolutionOct 15, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

EROUPA LEAGUE COMBO 3 PICK: 1. NEC vs. PFK Levski Sofia Pick: NEC @ 51¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1120172 My reason: NEC will host their opponent in this match; they performed quite well in their last outing, and I hope NEC can maintain that same style of play to secure a victory on their home turf. 2. FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan Pick: AC Milan @ 48¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1115104 My reason: AC Milan has been performing with great skill in the Italian league; however, tonight they must travel to the home ground of an opponent that is currently competing in the UCL. A victory should be within AC Milan's reach—provided they capitalize on their opportunities—as the opposing side will not be fielding their primary squad. 3. AZ vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva Pick: AZ Alkmaar @ 71¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1115106 My reason: I’m actually a bit hesitant to pick AZ Alkmaar, given that their statistics from the last five matches aren’t particularly impressive. Still, hopefully, playing on their home turf will bring a bit of magic for AZ. #NFA #COMBO

crypto_strategy in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    NEC @ 51¢
    NEC v PFK Levski Sofia
    Starts
    Entry
    51¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "NEC vs. PFK Levski Sofia"; entry is the caller's stated 51¢; the order book at the post moment reads 51.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 51.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 15, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1120172 "NEC" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    AC Milan @ 50¢
    FC Red Bull Salzburg v AC Milan
    Starts
    Entry
    50¢ (the message said 48¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan"; entry 50¢ from the ask printed at the post moment (50¢, 5s away) (caller stated 48¢); the mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post) read 49.5¢ while the tape was paying 50¢ 5s from the post; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 50¢ 5s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    won · Oct 15, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1115104 "AC Milan" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    AZ @ 71¢
    AZ v MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva
    Starts
    Entry
    71¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "AZ vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva"; entry is the caller's stated 71¢; the order book at the post moment reads 72.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 72.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 15, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1115106 "AZ" outcome "Yes" price 0.995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
18.11¢

51¢ × 50¢ × 71¢ = 18.11¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 18.11 − 1 = +4.52u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 15, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("NEC", NEC v PFK Levski Sofia): gamma POLY-1120172 "NEC" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 1 of 15 in week 3, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

crypto_strategy
rank #6 · season 2
Profile →
+9.72u
profit
60–54
record
114
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
Season rules →How to post a combo →