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← Open calls/Combo #179
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #179 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

48.49¢ · win pays +1.06u

Said · before resolutionOct 15, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

EUROPA LEAGUE COMBO 3 PICK 1. AC Sparta Praha vs. Lillestrøm SK Pick: SPARTA PRAHA @ 71¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1115107 My reason: Sparta Praha is a club featuring quite talented players, so Sparta Praha is expected to dominate and secure the win in this match. 2. Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. OFI Pick: STADE RENNAIS @ 80¢ My reason: Stade Rennais have been performing very well lately—in terms of ball possession, tactical formation, and an impressive winning record. I am quite confident that Stade Rennais will win. 3. Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Celtic FC Pick: BENFICA @ 81¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1120168 My reason: Benfica is a club in the Portuguese league that currently sits at the top of the standings. Their opponent is also a league leader, but in terms of overall balance, Benfica is far superior; therefore, it is highly likely that Benfica will win this match. #NFA #COMBO

crypto_strategy in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    AC Sparta Praha @ 73¢
    AC Sparta Praha v Lillestrøm SK
    Starts
    Entry
    73¢ (the message said 71¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "AC Sparta Praha vs. Lillestrøm SK"; entry 73¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 71¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 15, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1115107 "AC Sparta Praha" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Stade Rennais FC 1901 @ 81¢
    Stade Rennais FC 1901 v OFI
    Starts
    Entry
    81¢ (the message said 80¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. OFI"; market auto-discovered from the matchup line "Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs OFI": single active match "Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. OFI"; entry 81¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 80¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 15, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1120177 "Stade Rennais FC 1901" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Sport Lisboa e Benfica @ 82¢
    Sport Lisboa e Benfica v Celtic FC
    Starts
    Entry
    82¢ (the message said 81¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Celtic FC"; entry 82¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 81¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 15, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1120168 "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
48.49¢

73¢ × 81¢ × 82¢ = 48.49¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 48.49 − 1 = +1.06u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 15, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("AC Sparta Praha", AC Sparta Praha v Lillestrøm SK): gamma POLY-1115107 "AC Sparta Praha" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 2 of 15 in week 3, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

crypto_strategy
rank #6 · season 2
Profile →
+9.72u
profit
60–54
record
114
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
Season rules →How to post a combo →