LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #174 · Season 2
Combo · 2 legs
43.31¢ · win pays +1.31u
Said · before resolutionOct 14, 2026 · timestamped in Discord
https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1114982 Pick: Under 4.5 Goals @ 71¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1114990 Pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 61¢ City and PSG have enough attacking talent to produce goals, but staying below five requires a more controlled finish. Aston Villa’s forward pressure and Fenerbahçe’s ability to respond could make their contest more open, giving the over 2.5 selection a path. #nfa #combo
zubycharles in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
- Leg 1 · decided the comboLostUnder 4.5 @ 71¢Manchester City FC v Paris Saint-Germain FC - More Markets
- Starts
- Entry
- 71¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC - More Markets"; "Under 4.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC - More Markets" (POLY-1115067); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- lost · Oct 14, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1115067 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 2WonOver 2.5 @ 61¢Aston Villa FC v Fenerbahçe SK - More Markets
- Starts
- Entry
- 61¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "Aston Villa FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK - More Markets"; "Over 2.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Aston Villa FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK - More Markets" (POLY-1115061); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 14, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1115061 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
43.31¢
71¢ × 61¢ = 43.31¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 43.31 − 1 = +1.31u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.
ResolvedOct 14, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Under 4.5", Manchester City FC v Paris Saint-Germain FC - More Markets): gamma POLY-1115067 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter
Counts toward Season 2: combo 8 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.
How a combo scores
- One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
- Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
- A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
- A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
- Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.