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← Open calls/Combo #17
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #17 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

14.52¢ · win pays +5.89u

Said · before resolutionOct 4, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1) Republic of Ireland – Israel : Taking spread -1.5 republic of Ireland’s at 22 cent 2) Portugal - Norway : Taking both teams to score at 66 cent Reason: 1) Ireland started not bad into NL they already beat Israel away 3:0 today with home advantage they could def win again with 2 goals difference but risky tho 2) Portugal fav here with home advantage and 3 outta 3 wins so far also Norway shit bad against wales last match but I see them scoring 1 at least too #nfa #combo

f.sol in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Republic of Ireland -1.5 @ 22¢
    Republic of Ireland v Israel - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    22¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Republic of Ireland vs. Israel - More Markets"; market auto-discovered from the matchup line "Republic of Ireland vs Israel": 2 fixtures list these clubs (two-legged tie); only "Republic of Ireland vs. Israel" starts within 4 days of the post; "republic of Ireland’s -1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Republic of Ireland vs. Israel - More Markets" (POLY-1058090); entry is the caller's stated 22¢; the order book at the post moment reads 21¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 21.0¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 4, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1058090 "Republic of Ireland (-1.5)" outcome "Republic of Ireland" price 0.01 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Both Teams to Score @ 66¢
    Portugal v Norway - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    66¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Portugal vs. Norway - More Markets"; market auto-discovered from the matchup line "Portugal vs Norway": 8 fixtures list these clubs (two-legged tie); only "Portugal vs. Norway" starts within 4 days of the post; "both teams to score" is on this fixture's companion event "Portugal vs. Norway - More Markets" (POLY-1058094); entry is the caller's stated 66¢; the order book at the post moment reads 65.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 65.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 4, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1058094 "Both Teams to Score" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
14.52¢

22¢ × 66¢ = 14.52¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 14.52 − 1 = +5.89u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 4, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Republic of Ireland -1.5", Republic of Ireland v Israel - More Markets): gamma POLY-1058090 "Republic of Ireland (-1.5)" outcome "Republic of Ireland" price 0.01 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 3 of 15 in week 1, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

f.sol
chasing qualification · season 2
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How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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