LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #163 · Season 2
Combo · 3 legs
39.59¢ · win pays +1.53u
Said · before resolutionOct 14, 2026 · timestamped in Discord
https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1109545 Pick: Feyenoord Rotterdam to Win NO @ 71¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1114990 Pick: Fenerbahçe Istanbul to Win NO @ 82¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1114984 Pick: FK Bodø/Glimt to Win NO @ 67¢ Feyenoord’s mixed form and Como’s strong opening win make the home side worth opposing. Aston Villa’s quality gives them an edge against Fenerbahçe, while Borussia Dortmund have the experience to take advantage of Bodø/Glimt’s defensive vulnerabilities. #NFA #COMBO
zubycharles in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
- Leg 1 · decided the comboLostNo: Feyenoord Rotterdam @ 71¢Feyenoord Rotterdam v Como 1907
- Starts
- Entry
- 71¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907"; entry is the caller's stated 71¢; the order book at the post moment reads 69.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 69.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- lost · Oct 14, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1109545 "Feyenoord Rotterdam" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 2WonNo: Fenerbahçe SK @ 82¢Aston Villa FC v Fenerbahçe SK
- Starts
- Entry
- 82¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "Aston Villa FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK"; entry is the caller's stated 82¢; the order book at the post moment reads 81.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 81.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 14, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1114990 "Fenerbahçe SK" outcome "No" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 3LostNo: FK Bodø/Glimt @ 68¢FK Bodø/Glimt v BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
- Starts
- Entry
- 68¢ (the message said 67¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 3: event "FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund"; entry 68¢ from the trade tape: no buyable ask could be read, and this market traded at 68¢ 21s from the post (caller stated 67¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- lost · Oct 14, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1114984 "FK Bodø/Glimt" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
39.59¢
71¢ × 82¢ × 68¢ = 39.59¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 39.59 − 1 = +1.53u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.
ResolvedOct 14, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Feyenoord Rotterdam No", Feyenoord Rotterdam v Como 1907): gamma POLY-1109545 "Feyenoord Rotterdam" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter
Counts toward Season 2: combo 6 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.
How a combo scores
- One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
- Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
- A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
- A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
- Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.