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← Open calls/Combo #162
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #162 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

50.92¢ · win pays +0.96u

Said · before resolutionOct 14, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1114988 FC Porto to Win NO @ 76¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1114984 FK Bodø/Glimt to Win NO @ 67¢ Betis have a strong incentive to build on their opening European win, while Porto will be looking to recover from their first match defeat. That makes a Porto victory less straightforward than it might appear. Bodø/Glimt face a tougher test after losing 5–0 to Bayern, and Dortmund’s win over Villarreal gives me more reason to oppose a Bodø/Glimt win here. #NFA #COMBO

zubycharles in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    No: FC Porto @ 76¢
    Real Betis Balompié v FC Porto
    Starts
    Entry
    76¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto"; entry is the caller's stated 76¢; the order book at the post moment reads 73.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 73.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 14, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1114988 "FC Porto" outcome "No" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    No: FK Bodø/Glimt @ 67¢
    FK Bodø/Glimt v BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
    Starts
    Entry
    67¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund"; entry is the caller's stated 67¢; the order book at the post moment reads 67.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 67.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: only a bid print (67¢) inside 20s of the post, and the entry is not below it
    Result
    lost · Oct 14, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1114984 "FK Bodø/Glimt" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
50.92¢

76¢ × 67¢ = 50.92¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 50.92 − 1 = +0.96u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 14, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("FK Bodø/Glimt No", FK Bodø/Glimt v BV Borussia 09 Dortmund): gamma POLY-1114984 "FK Bodø/Glimt" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 4 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

zubycharles
rank #33 · season 2
Profile →
-4.86u
profit
35–34
record
69
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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