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← Open calls/Combo #160
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #160 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

41.06¢ · win pays +1.44u

Said · before resolutionOct 14, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1114982 Paris Saint-Germain FC To Win NO @ 73¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1114980 Roma to Win NO @ 68¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1114988 Porto to Win NO @ 76¢ PSG have the quality to trouble City, but the Etihad is a difficult place to secure a win, making the home side’s record a reason to oppose PSG’s victory. Roma are unbeaten this season, yet Real Madrid’s European experience makes a Roma win far from certain. Porto have been in good form, but Betis have started strongly too, so I’m not convinced the visitors will take all three points in Seville. #NFA #COMBO

justfhlawlez. in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    No: Paris Saint-Germain FC @ 73¢
    Manchester City FC v Paris Saint-Germain FC
    Starts
    Entry
    73¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC"; entry is the caller's stated 73¢: the order-book ask at post time read 71¢, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; entry checked against the trade tape: only a bid print (70¢) inside 20s of the post, and the entry is not below it
    Result
    lost · Oct 14, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1114982 "Paris Saint-Germain FC" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    No: AS Roma @ 74¢
    AS Roma v Real Madrid CF
    Starts
    Entry
    74¢ (the message said 68¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF"; entry 74¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 68¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 14, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1114980 "AS Roma" outcome "No" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    No: FC Porto @ 76¢
    Real Betis Balompié v FC Porto
    Starts
    Entry
    76¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto"; entry is the caller's stated 76¢: the order-book ask at post time read 74¢, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 14, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1114988 "FC Porto" outcome "No" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
41.06¢

73¢ × 74¢ × 76¢ = 41.06¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 41.06 − 1 = +1.44u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 14, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Paris Saint-Germain FC No", Manchester City FC v Paris Saint-Germain FC): gamma POLY-1114982 "Paris Saint-Germain FC" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 8 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

justfhlawlez.
rank #17 · season 2
Profile →
-0.18u
profit
48–48
record
96
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.