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← Open calls/Combo #154
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #154 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

35.04¢ · win pays +1.85u

Said · before resolutionOct 13, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1109539 Under 5.5 Goals @ 73¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1109534 Over 2.5 Goals @ 64¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1109531 Both Teams to Score YES @ 73¢ Barcelona have enough attacking quality to take control against Galatasaray, but the Under 5.5 line gives this pick room to survive even if the match produces several goals. Arsenal’s selection is more demanding, with at least three goals needed from the Gunners, so their ability to turn attacking pressure into clear chances will be crucial. PSV vs Leipzig brings a different angle rather than relying on one team to do all the scoring, Over 2.5 gives us room for a 2–1, 3–0 or 2–2 result. If both sides play with attacking intent and convert their chances, three goals are within reach. Each leg has a different route to landing, but finishing quality will be the key across the combo. #NFA #COMBO

justfhlawlez. in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Under 5.5 @ 75¢
    Galatasaray SK v FC Barcelona - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    75¢ (the message said 73¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona - More Markets"; "Under 5.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona - More Markets" (POLY-1109634); entry 75¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 73¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 13, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1109634 "O/U 5.5" outcome "Under" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Over 2.5 @ 64¢
    Arsenal FC v Lille OSC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    64¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC - More Markets"; "Over 2.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC - More Markets" (POLY-1109637); entry is the caller's stated 64¢: the order-book ask at post time read 62¢, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 62¢ 8s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    won · Oct 13, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1109637 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3 · decided the comboLost
    both teams to score @ 73¢
    RB Leipzig v PSV - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    73¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "RB Leipzig vs. PSV - More Markets"; "both teams to score YES" is on this fixture's companion event "RB Leipzig vs. PSV - More Markets" (POLY-1109638); entry checked against the trade tape: only a bid print (72¢) inside 20s of the post, and the entry is not below it
    Result
    lost · Oct 13, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1109638 "Both Teams to Score" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
35.04¢

75¢ × 64¢ × 73¢ = 35.04¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 35.04 − 1 = +1.85u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 13, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 3: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 3 ("both teams to score YES", RB Leipzig v PSV - More Markets): gamma POLY-1109638 "Both Teams to Score" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 5 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

justfhlawlez.
rank #17 · season 2
Profile →
-0.18u
profit
48–48
record
96
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.