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LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #153 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

70.52¢ · win pays +0.42u

Said · before resolutionOct 13, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

2 #COMBO 1. Arsenal still have enough attacking quality at home, but the absence of some regular starters makes me less enthusiastic about predicting a heavy victory. Lille can be competitive, so I’d favour Arsenal to win rather than an aggressive handicap. Pick: Arsenal to win @ 82c https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1109534 2. Viking have the benefit of playing at home, but they face a difficult challenge against Bayern’s attacking quality. Kane’s movement and finishing, combined with the creativity around him, give Bayern several ways to create scoring opportunities. Pick: Bayern win @86c https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1109540 #NFA #COMBO

connection23.05.2023 in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Arsenal FC @ 82¢
    Arsenal FC v Lille OSC
    Starts
    Entry
    82¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC"; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 81¢ 15s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    won · Oct 13, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1109534 "Arsenal FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    FC Bayern München @ 86¢
    Viking FK v FC Bayern München
    Starts
    Entry
    86¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München"; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 86¢ 0s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    lost · Oct 13, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1109540 "FC Bayern München" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
70.52¢

82¢ × 86¢ = 70.52¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 70.52 − 1 = +0.42u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 13, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("FC Bayern München", Viking FK v FC Bayern München): gamma POLY-1109540 "FC Bayern München" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 4 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

connection23.05.2023
rank #27 · season 2
Profile →
-2.01u
profit
61–37
record
98
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
Season rules →How to post a combo →