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LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #15 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

51.12¢ after a void · win pays +0.96u

Said · before resolutionOct 4, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

Alright!! We have 2 combos win strike... its time to lose one 😂 Risk: 🔴 Super Degen High Risk ATP500 - Japan Open - Tokyo 🇯🇵 Pick: 🇪🇸 C. Alcaraz -1.5 @ 66c Reason: Alcaraz’s path is the one he already ran in Indian Wells, and again from 2-6 down against Arnaldi: one return deep, then the first step takes the single hand out of the point. Outdoor Tokyo is fast enough for the lefty slider. It is not fast enough to hide the second serve, and that is the ball both previous meetings were lost on. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1123840 ATP500 - China Open - Beijing 🇨🇳 Pick: 🇷🇺 D. Medvedev @ 71c Reason: Miami said Cerundolo can take the height out of Medvedev’s game for a set, and that Medvedev can take it back once the first ball lands. Beijing is the same hard court, with the week running the other way: Mensik was beaten in straight sets, Struff was beaten in straight sets, and the serve that failed in the Miami opener has been the shot of the last two matches. The forehand is still the heavier ball if the rally starts. The question is whether the rally is allowed to start. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1125317 ATP500 - China Open - Beijing 🇨🇳 Pick: 🇩🇪 A. Zverev @ 72c Reason: The 31-0 is the court, not the match. Paris turned because he had two sets after the first to find the depth. Beijing does not give him that. If the serve holds cheaply, the return never gets the contact that won the last meeting, and the backhand that beat Shang does not have to survive a long exchange. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1125316 *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa #combo

snk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Void
    Carlos Alcaraz -1.5 sets @ 66¢
    Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz v Denis Shapovalov
    Starts
    Entry
    66¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    void: dropped from the price · Oct 4, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1123840 "Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov Set Handicap +/-1.5" resolved 50/50 (refund/incomplete event) uma=resolved
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Daniil Medvedev @ 71¢
    China Open: Daniil Medvedev v Francisco Cerundolo
    Starts
    Entry
    71¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 4, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1125317 "China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo" outcome "Daniil Medvedev" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3 · decided the comboLost
    Alexander Zverev @ 72¢
    China Open: Alexander Zverev v Novak Djokovic
    Starts
    Entry
    72¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 4, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1125316 "China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic" outcome "Alexander Zverev" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
51.12¢after a void

At post: 66¢ × 71¢ × 72¢ = 33.74¢, the price the 10¢ to 90¢ combo band is checked on.

Leg 1 was void and dropped out, so the combo was repriced to 71¢ × 72¢ = 51.12¢: a win pays +0.96u, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 4, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 3: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 3 ("Alexander Zverev", China Open: Alexander Zverev v Novak Djokovic): gamma POLY-1125316 "China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic" outcome "Alexander Zverev" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 3 of 15 in week 1, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #16 · season 2
Profile →
+0.06u
profit
14–12
record
26
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
Season rules →How to post a combo →