LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #149 · Season 2
Combo · 3 legs
49.25¢ · win pays +1.03u
Said · before resolutionOct 13, 2026 · timestamped in Discord
2. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1104417 Sabah Baku to Win NO @ 77¢ 1. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1109539 Barcelona to Win Yes @ 78¢ 3. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1109534 Arsenal to Win Yes @ 82¢ Sabah Baku face a tough test against Slavia Prague, making the NO side on a Sabah win the selection. Barcelona’s attacking quality gives them a strong case, while Arsenal’s overall quality and recent European performance make them the side to back against Lille. #NFA #COMBO
justfhlawlez. in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
- Leg 1 · decided the comboLostNo: Sabah FK @ 77¢Sabah FK v SK Slavia Praha
- Starts
- Entry
- 77¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha"; entry is the caller's stated 77¢: this market traded at 76¢ 18s from the post, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; entry checked against the trade tape: only a bid print (76¢) inside 20s of the post, and the entry is not below it - Result
- lost · Oct 13, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1104417 "Sabah FK" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 2WonFC Barcelona @ 78¢Galatasaray SK v FC Barcelona
- Starts
- Entry
- 78¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona"; the mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post) read 77.5¢ while the tape was paying 78¢ 13s from the post; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 78¢ 13s from the post, within a cent of the entry - Result
- won · Oct 13, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1109539 "FC Barcelona" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 3WonArsenal FC @ 82¢Arsenal FC v Lille OSC
- Starts
- Entry
- 82¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 3: event "Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC"; entry is the caller's stated 82¢; the order book at the post moment reads 81.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 81.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 13, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1109534 "Arsenal FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
49.25¢
77¢ × 78¢ × 82¢ = 49.25¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 49.25 − 1 = +1.03u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.
ResolvedOct 13, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Sabah FK No", Sabah FK v SK Slavia Praha): gamma POLY-1104417 "Sabah FK" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter
Counts toward Season 2: combo 3 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.
How a combo scores
- One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
- Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
- A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
- A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
- Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.