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LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #145 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

41.04¢ · win pays +1.44u

Said · before resolutionOct 13, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1109542 Pick Manchester United +1.5 at 72c The heated clash between Manchester United and Atlético Madrid promises to be a tight affair; while Atlético holds a significant advantage in the head-to-head record—compounded by Manchester United's dismal form in the Premier League—football remains unpredictable. Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1109535 Pick Over 2.5 at 56c The match is fairly evenly balanced, though Villarreal holds the advantage of playing at home. However, Napoli should not be underestimated; they could well pull off a win tonight. #nfa #combo

fukangan in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Manchester United FC +1.5 @ 72¢
    Club Atlético de Madrid v Manchester United FC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    72¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC - More Markets"; "Manchester United +1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC - More Markets" (POLY-1109632); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 13, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1109632 "Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)" outcome "Manchester United FC" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Over 2.5 @ 57¢
    Villarreal CF v SSC Napoli - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    57¢ (the message said 56¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli - More Markets"; "Over 2.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli - More Markets" (POLY-1109636); entry 57¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 56¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 13, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1109636 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
41.04¢

72¢ × 57¢ = 41.04¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 41.04 − 1 = +1.44u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 13, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Manchester United FC +1.5", Club Atlético de Madrid v Manchester United FC - More Markets): gamma POLY-1109632 "Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)" outcome "Manchester United FC" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 4 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

fukangan
rank #39 · season 2
Profile →
-5.64u
profit
40–59
record
99
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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