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← Open calls/Combo #142
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #142 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

42.81¢ · win pays +1.34u

Said · before resolutionOct 13, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

UEFA CHAMPION LEAGUE COMBO 4 PICK 1. Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona Pick: Barcelona @ 77¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1109539 My Reason: In the first-leg match against Feyenoord, Barcelona secured a crushing 5-1 victory. For this second leg, Barcelona will travel to Galatasaray's home ground; nevertheless, they are expected to put in a strong performance with their first-team squad and could potentially defeat the hosts by a margin of at least two goals. 2. FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV Pick: Intermilan @ 78¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1109537 My Reason: Inter Milan boasts an impressive record and statistics in both domestic and European competitions; notably, they are the only Italian club that has never been relegated to Serie B since first competing in the top flight. 3. Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München Pick Bayerunchen @ 88¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1109540 My Reason: Bayern Munich is a giant of the German league; although their Bundesliga performance hasn't been smooth, the club appears to have other priorities—one of which is focusing on the Champions League. 4. Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC Pick: Arsenal @ 79¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1109534 My Reason: Arsenal is one of England's most successful and historic football clubs, having recently cemented its dominance by winning the 2025/2026 Premier League title under the management of Mikel Arteta; therefore, I believe Arsenal is capable of defeating its opponent tonight. #NFA #COMBO

crypto_strategy in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    FC Barcelona @ 77¢
    Galatasaray SK v FC Barcelona
    Starts
    Entry
    77¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona"; the mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post) read 76.5¢ while the tape was paying 77¢ 14s from the post; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 77¢ 14s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    won · Oct 13, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1109539 "FC Barcelona" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Lost
    FC Internazionale Milano @ 78¢
    FC Internazionale Milano v Club Brugge KV
    Starts
    Entry
    78¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV"; entry is the caller's stated 78¢; the order book at the post moment reads 78.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 78.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 13, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1109537 "FC Internazionale Milano" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3 · decided the comboLost
    FC Bayern München @ 88¢
    Viking FK v FC Bayern München
    Starts
    Entry
    88¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München"; entry is the caller's stated 88¢; the order book at the post moment reads 87.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 87.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 13, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1109540 "FC Bayern München" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    Arsenal FC @ 81¢
    Arsenal FC v Lille OSC
    Starts
    Entry
    81¢ (the message said 79¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC"; entry 81¢ from the ask printed at the post moment (81¢, 14s away) (caller stated 79¢); the mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post) read 80.5¢ while the tape was paying 81¢ 14s from the post; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 81¢ 14s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    won · Oct 13, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1109534 "Arsenal FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
42.81¢

77¢ × 78¢ × 88¢ × 81¢ = 42.81¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 42.81 − 1 = +1.34u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 13, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 3: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 3 ("FC Bayern München", Viking FK v FC Bayern München): gamma POLY-1109540 "FC Bayern München" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 14 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

crypto_strategy
rank #6 · season 2
Profile →
+9.72u
profit
60–54
record
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graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.