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← Open calls/Combo #129
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #129 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

28.35¢ · win pays +2.53u

Said · before resolutionOct 12, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1101581 Newcastle United to win @ 43¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1100422 Atalanta to win @ 62¢ Newcastle’s path to victory is through their attacking threat, while Atalanta have the quality to make home advantage count against Venezia. These are two different matchups, but I see a credible winning route for each side. Putting them together gives me a combo built around Newcastle’s ability to create danger and Atalanta’s potential to impose themselves at home. #combo #nfa

justfhlawlez. in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Newcastle United FC @ 45¢
    Coventry City FC v Newcastle United FC
    Starts
    Entry
    45¢ (the message said 43¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC"; entry 45¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 43¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 12, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1101581 "Newcastle United FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Atalanta BC @ 63¢
    Atalanta BC v Venezia FC
    Starts
    Entry
    63¢ (the message said 62¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Atalanta BC vs. Venezia FC"; entry 63¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 62¢); entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 63¢ 5s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    won · Oct 12, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1100422 "Atalanta BC" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
28.35¢

45¢ × 63¢ = 28.35¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 28.35 − 1 = +2.53u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 12, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Newcastle United FC", Coventry City FC v Newcastle United FC): gamma POLY-1101581 "Newcastle United FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 1 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

justfhlawlez.
rank #17 · season 2
Profile →
-0.18u
profit
48–48
record
96
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
Season rules →How to post a combo →