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← Open calls/Combo #121
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #121 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

28.86¢ · win pays +2.47u

Said · before resolutionOct 12, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

Annnnnnnnnnd the last combo for today 🫡 Risk: 🔴 Super Degen High Risk ATP MASTERS 1000 - Shanghai 🇨🇳 Pick: 🇷🇺 D. Medvedev -1.5 @ 66c Reason: Medvedev’s edge is the first strike and the hold. He takes it early, the hold is 85.3, and the short point is the one they play most. The gaps on serve points won and first-serve points won are huge. Svrcina needs the second ball to start his own finish. The problem for Svrcina is the hold he has put up, 64.0, against a first ball that just held clean. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1164085 ATP MASTERS 1000 - Shanghai 🇨🇳 Pick: 🇪🇸 C. Alcaraz -1.5 @ 73c Reason: Alcaraz takes it early and wins the return and the short point. Bergs takes it early and needs the aces to land. If Alcaraz maintains the returns above 40% he should win in straight sets. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1165453 ATP MASTERS 1000 - Shanghai 🇨🇳 Pick: 🇺🇸 T. Paul @ 59c Reason: Paul’s edge is the return, second serve and the break. He takes it early, the return is 38.2, and the break is 24.2. The problem for Vacherot is the Paul's return that just broke clean. Vacherot’s edge is the ace when it lands he takes it early and the ace rate is higher. The problem is the return and when rally get pass the 4-6 shots at 33.9 on return is where Paul breaks him. The Baez match went to a tiebreak. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1165455 *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa #combo

snk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Daniil Medvedev -1.5 sets @ 67¢
    Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev v Dalibor Svrcina
    Starts
    Entry
    67¢ (the message said 66¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina"; entry 67¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 66¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 12, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1164085 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Daniil Medvedev" price 0.9955 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    Carlos Alcaraz -1.5 sets @ 73¢
    Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs v Carlos Alcaraz
    Starts
    Entry
    73¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 12, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1165453 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Carlos Alcaraz" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Tommy Paul @ 59¢
    Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul v Valentin Vacherot
    Starts
    Entry
    59¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 12, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1165455 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot" outcome "Tommy Paul" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
28.86¢

67¢ × 73¢ × 59¢ = 28.86¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 28.86 − 1 = +2.47u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 12, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("Carlos Alcaraz -1.5 sets", Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs v Carlos Alcaraz): gamma POLY-1165453 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Carlos Alcaraz" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 10 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.