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← Open calls/Combo #115
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #115 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

70.55¢ · win pays +0.42u

Said · before resolutionOct 11, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1093065 Under 4.5 goals @ 75¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1096282 Under 4.5 goals @ 85¢ Real Sociedad vs Deportivo is a reasonable Under 4.5 candidate, with both sides having shown some defensive vulnerability this season. Rayo vs Athletic Club was abandoned after crowd disturbances, so please do not submit that leg as a live match until the fixture is officially resumed or rescheduled. #combo #nfa

greenedgeok in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Lost
    Under 4.5 @ 83¢
    Rio Ave FC v CD Nacional - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    83¢ (the message said 75¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Rio Ave FC vs. CD Nacional - More Markets"; "Under 4.5 goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Rio Ave FC vs. CD Nacional - More Markets" (POLY-1096964); entry 83¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 75¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 11, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1096964 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    Under 4.5 @ 85¢
    Real Sociedad de Fútbol v RC Deportivo A Coruña - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    85¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña - More Markets"; "Under 4.5 goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña - More Markets" (POLY-1096529); entry is the caller's stated 85¢: the order-book ask at post time read 82¢, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; entry checked against the trade tape: only a bid print (81¢) inside 20s of the post, and the entry is not below it
    Result
    lost · Oct 11, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1096529 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
70.55¢

83¢ × 85¢ = 70.55¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 70.55 − 1 = +0.42u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 11, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("Under 4.5", Real Sociedad de Fútbol v RC Deportivo A Coruña - More Markets): gamma POLY-1096529 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 7 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

greenedgeok
rank #48 · season 2
Profile →
-15.09u
profit
49–64
record
113
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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