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← Open calls/Combo #114
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #114 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

27.14¢ · win pays +2.69u

Said · before resolutionOct 11, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1094767 Pick: AC Milan at 52c AC Milan will play away in this match, but given their solid and competent squad, they are very likely to defeat their opponent easily—winning by at least 1-0 or 2-1. Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1093068 Pick: Benfica at 79c Benfica currently sits at the top of the standings, boasting an extraordinary winning record and having scored over 17 goals so far. Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1094768 Pick: Juventus at 63c Juventus's performance in the Italian league hasn't been great lately; despite having star players, their defense is easily breached by opponents. However, judging by their last two matches, it looks like Juventus is starting to bounce back. Hopefully, the magic will be on Juventus's side this time. #nfa #combo

fukangan in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    AC Milan @ 53¢
    US Sassuolo Calcio v AC Milan
    Starts
    Entry
    53¢ (the message said 52¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan"; entry 53¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 52¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 11, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1094767 "AC Milan" outcome "Yes" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Sport Lisboa e Benfica @ 80¢
    Sport Lisboa e Benfica v Vitória SC
    Starts
    Entry
    80¢ (the message said 79¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC"; entry 80¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 79¢); entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 80¢ 4s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    won · Oct 11, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1093068 "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Lost
    Juventus FC @ 64¢
    Cagliari Calcio v Juventus FC
    Starts
    Entry
    64¢ (the message said 63¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC"; entry 64¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 63¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 11, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1094768 "Juventus FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
27.14¢

53¢ × 80¢ × 64¢ = 27.14¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 27.14 − 1 = +2.69u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 11, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("AC Milan", US Sassuolo Calcio v AC Milan): gamma POLY-1094767 "AC Milan" outcome "Yes" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 2 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

fukangan
rank #39 · season 2
Profile →
-5.64u
profit
40–59
record
99
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.