LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #107 · Season 2
Combo · 4 legs
51.38¢ · win pays +0.95u
Said · before resolutionOct 11, 2026 · timestamped in Discord
Real Betis vs Osasuna https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1096286 Under 4.5 Goals @ 84¢ Beşiktaş JK vs Kocaelispor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1092639 Beşiktaş Istanbul to Win YES @ 79¢ Arouca vs Estrela da Amadora https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1098942 Under 4.5 Goals @ 87¢ Rio Ave vs Nacional Madeira https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1093065 Under 4.5 Goals @ 89¢ Real Betis vs Osasuna has a history of relatively low scoring meetings. Beşiktaş have shown attacking quality in recent wins, while Arouca vs Estrela da Amadora and Rio Ave vs Nacional Madeira offer room for competitive games to stay under 4.5 goals. #combo #nfa
greenedgeok in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
- Leg 1LostUnder 4.5 @ 84¢Real Betis Balompié v CA Osasuna - More Markets
- Starts
- Entry
- 84¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna - More Markets"; "Under 4.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna - More Markets" (POLY-1096528); entry is the caller's stated 84¢; the order book at the post moment reads 83.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 83.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- lost · Oct 11, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1096528 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 2WonBeşiktaş JK @ 79¢Beşiktaş JK v Kocaelispor
- Starts
- Entry
- 79¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "Beşiktaş JK vs. Kocaelispor"; entry is the caller's stated 79¢; the order book at the post moment reads 78.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 78.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 11, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1092639 "Beşiktaş JK" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 3WonUnder 4.5 @ 87¢FC Arouca v CF Estrela da Amadora - More Markets
- Starts
- Entry
- 87¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 3: event "FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora - More Markets"; "Under 4.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora - More Markets" (POLY-1102605); entry is the caller's stated 87¢; the order book at the post moment reads 86¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 86.0¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 11, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1102605 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 4 · decided the comboLostUnder 4.5 @ 89¢Rio Ave FC v CD Nacional - More Markets
- Starts
- Entry
- 89¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 4: event "Rio Ave FC vs. CD Nacional - More Markets"; "Under 4.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Rio Ave FC vs. CD Nacional - More Markets" (POLY-1096964); entry is the caller's stated 89¢; the order book at the post moment reads 88.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 88.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- lost · Oct 11, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1096964 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
51.38¢
84¢ × 79¢ × 87¢ × 89¢ = 51.38¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 51.38 − 1 = +0.95u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.
ResolvedOct 11, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 4: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 4 ("Under 4.5", Rio Ave FC v CD Nacional - More Markets): gamma POLY-1096964 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter
Counts toward Season 2: combo 4 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.
How a combo scores
- One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
- Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
- A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
- A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
- Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.