LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #105 · Season 2
Combo · 3 legs
44.52¢ · win pays +1.25u
Said · before resolutionOct 11, 2026 · timestamped in Discord
https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1095786 Picking Over 2.5 Goals @ 61¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1095775 Picking Under 4.5 Goals @ 89¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1095776 Picking Under 4.5 Goals @ 82¢ Troyes vs Marseille is the goals focused leg, where I’m looking for an open enough match to reach three goals. Hull City vs Everton and Nice vs Strasbourg take the opposite approach, favouring more contained scorelines rather than matches that turn into goalfests. #NFA #COMBO
greenedgeok in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
- Leg 1 · decided the comboLostOver 2.5 @ 61¢ES Troyes AC v Olympique de Marseille - More Markets
- Starts
- Entry
- 61¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille - More Markets"; "Over 2.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille - More Markets" (POLY-1096111); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- lost · Oct 11, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1096111 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 2WonUnder 4.5 @ 89¢Hull City AFC v Everton FC - More Markets
- Starts
- Entry
- 89¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC - More Markets"; "Under 4.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC - More Markets" (POLY-1096124); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 11, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1096124 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 3WonUnder 4.5 @ 82¢OGC Nice v RC Strasbourg Alsace - More Markets
- Starts
- Entry
- 82¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 3: event "OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace - More Markets"; "Under 4.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace - More Markets" (POLY-1096123); entry is the caller's stated 82¢: the order-book ask at post time read 80¢, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 11, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1096123 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
44.52¢
61¢ × 89¢ × 82¢ = 44.52¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 44.52 − 1 = +1.25u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.
ResolvedOct 11, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Over 2.5", ES Troyes AC v Olympique de Marseille - More Markets): gamma POLY-1096111 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter
Counts toward Season 2: combo 6 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.
How a combo scores
- One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
- Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
- A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
- A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
- Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.