Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar v Daniil Medvedev
“Pick: Daniel Merida Aguilar +1.5 Reasoning: I'm basing this bet purely on exhaustion which sometimes creates considerable impact to performance. Aguilar has been in Vienna for quite some time and he is well rested for this match unlike Medvedev just recently won in Almaty and has to travel. Medvedev would normally beat Aguilar in normal case. But IMO Aguilar can win atleast 1 set here. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Verification details
- Submission id
1564167192895563001(submitted on this site, not posted in Discord)- Market
POLY-1250676jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- submitted on community.jup.ag; event "Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev"; entry 44¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- closed early via #close (msg 1564911842531114232, posted 2026-10-28T08:00:57.915Z): entry 44c -> exit 51.5c (+7.5c realized); CLOB history 0.515 at 2026-10-28T08:00:21.000Z (36s from post); no trade printed within 2min of the close and the tape never filled in, so the series point stands; "#close"
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#6384), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Daniel Merida Aguilar +1.5 sets @ 44¢
- Resolution
- caller’s sale (closed early)