← Leaderboard/Call #5917

JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2

VERIFIED CALL

FC Bayern München v Arsenal FC

FC Bayern München

ENTRY

38¢

RESULT

-100%

CALLER

@vince.

PLACED

2026-10-21 · 19:37 UTC

Nº 0005917R

LOSS

-100%

378526937181

COMMUNITY.JUP.AG

Post on XSave

LOSSVerifiedPredictionsCall #5917 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

FC Bayern München v Arsenal FC

Said · before resolutionOct 21, 19:37 UTC · timestamped in Discordevent started Oct 21, 19:00 UTC

“FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC FC Bayern München 37c #nfa Bayern’s attacking quality, recent scoring form, and historical success against Arsenal give them a realistic path to securing all three points. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1154850”

vince. in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗

Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later

FC Bayern München @ 38¢

flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way

ResolvedOct 21, 20:55 UTC · market settlement

Lost: the market resolved against this pick.

-1.00uat a 1-unit stake

Verification details

Message id: 1562550378526937181 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market: POLY-1154850 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note: auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC"; entry is the caller's stated 37¢; the order book at the post moment reads 18¢ (the trade tape at post time (18¢, 159s away; the book quoted 38¢, which nobody was paying)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 37.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); the order book read 38¢ at boarding, 20.0¢ away from what this market actually traded at 159s from the post (18¢), so the trade is the price; entry checked against the trade tape: entry 37¢ -> 38¢, the tape paid 38¢ at the post moment (caller stated 37¢) (3s after the post)
Graded via: gamma POLY-1154850 "FC Bayern München" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5917), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

vince.

rank #43 · season 2

Profile →

-8.08u

profit

38–45

record

graded

form · last 10

The market

FC Bayern München v Arsenal FC

Venue: Jupiter Prediction Markets
Jupiter trade: No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
Starts: Oct 21, 19:00 UTC
Ask at post: FC Bayern München @ 38¢
Resolution: market’s official settlement

Open the market ↗