JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?
84.000 No
ENTRY
13¢
RESULT
-100%
CALLER
@vince.
PLACED
2026-10-21 · 15:19 UTC
Nº 0005883R
LOSS
-100%
450373861396
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictionsCall #5883 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discord
“Bitcoin above ___ on October 21? 84.000 No 13c #nfa Bitcoin below 84.000 in the next few hours. Bitcoin in a big liquidity zone right now and a rejection its possible. Risky because there isnt much time left. I could close early. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1188984”
vince. in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
84.000 No @ 13¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Resolved · market settlement
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
- Message id
1562485450373861396open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1188984jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?"; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 10¢ 5s from the post, within a cent of the entry
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1188984 "84,000" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5883), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- Traded on Jupiter
- Ask at post
- 84.000 No @ 13¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement
More from vince.
Bitcoin above ___ on October 30?82,000 · Oct 29, 2026@ 19¢LOSS