JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Bitcoin above ___ on October 19?
No 82.000
ENTRY
40¢
RESULT
+150%
CALLER
@vince.
PLACED
2026-10-19 · 14:25 UTC
Nº 0005712R
WIN
+150%
162046537779
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictionsCall #5712 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Bitcoin above ___ on October 19?
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discord
“Bitcoin above ___ on October 19? No 82.000 40c #nfa Buyers ers fail to defend nearby support levels. If BTC struggles to reclaim resistance, short term sellers may gain control, increasing the likelihood of a move below 82.000. I could close early. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1177747”
vince. in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe price the caller wrote
No 82.000 @ 40¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Entry 40¢, the number the caller wrote. The market briefly showed better odds, and a call never pays more than its caller claimed.
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for No 82.000.
+1.50uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 40 − 1)
Verification details
- Message id
1561747162046537779open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1177747jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Bitcoin above ___ on October 19?"; entry is the caller's stated 40¢; the order book at the post moment reads 39¢ (mid at post time (the book moved 7.5¢ between the post and capture, so the live ask is not the ask you saw)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 39.0¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1177747 "82,000" outcome "No" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5712), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
Bitcoin above ___ on October 19?
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- Traded on Jupiter
- Caller’s price
- No 82.000 @ 40¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement
More from vince.
Bitcoin above ___ on October 30?82,000 · Oct 29, 2026@ 19¢LOSS