Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Rafael Jodar
“@Shanghai ATP1000 Stage: SF Confidence: 🟠 low risk (58%) Forecast: jodar 54c Reasoning: Jódar's biggest weapon is his aggressive baseline game, especially his forehand. In the Ruud and Medvedev semi's, he increasingly dictated rallies with that shot and broke Ruud and Medvedev more than five times across the final two sets. This is important because fokina is an excellent defender, but Jódar should not allow him to settle comfortably. joday wining today will mean alot for his early career. The opportunity is enormous. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1206098 #nfa”
Verification details
- Message id
1561323775226675220open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1206098jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar"; entry is the caller's stated 54¢; the order book at the post moment reads 55.1¢ (mid at post time (the book was moving 6.1¢ a minute and we read it 19s after the post, so the live ask is our lag and not your price)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 53.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: entry 54¢ -> 57¢, the tape paid 57¢ at the post moment (caller stated 54¢) (5s before the post)
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1206098 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar" outcome "Rafael Jodar" price 0.025 uma=proposed closed=false
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5616), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Rafael Jodar @ 57¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement